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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Broad is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:37PM UTC
AFL

Nathan Broad

Richmond

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
+0.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 28 Mar, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.2%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
13.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.2%71.9%1.39+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Nathan Broad (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Nathan Broad hitting the 'Disposals Over' of 10.5 against Fremantle, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Broad has been a consistent force, averaging 13.8 disposals, well above the line. Facing Fremantle, he has historically stepped up, averaging 15.5 disposals in their recent matchups. His recent form boasts a solid disposal efficiency of 74.4% and an impressive 155.2 meters gained on average per game. With a current hit streak on the road and a strong hit rate overall, Broad appears primed to shine in this clash. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, creating opportunities and driving the Tigers forward as he looks to snag this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16.2avg disposals recent
Season best27
Disposals last 10avg 16.2 · hi 27 · lo 11
15111215182716161814

Nathan Broad has a disposals high of 27 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nathan Broad (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Broad is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 28 March at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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