Nathan Broad (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-114)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Nathan Broad is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against Collingwood at the MCG based on his recent form. With a model predicting 15.1 disposals and a 1.5% edge, Broad's consistent performance is highlighted by his 13.6 disposals average in his last five home games, complemented by solid metrics like 82.3% disposal efficiency and 8.6 kicks per game. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 23 disposals, Broad's upward trend, including hitting 4/5 over 14.5 disposals in recent home games, reinforces his potential to exceed this mark. With a current hit streak of 2 at home and a hit rate of 2/3 overall, Broad is primed to deliver in this matchup.