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The latest Bet Better model pick for Marc Pittonet is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 75%, edge +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:14AM UTC
AFL

Marc Pittonet

Carlton

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+1.6% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Jul, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 22°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
13.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.7% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +1.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.7%—75.2%1.30+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Marc Pittonet (Carlton) Over 9.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Marc Pittonet is poised to shine in this matchup. With a strong model prediction of 13.2 disposals and a 1.6% edge, Pittonet's recent form supports this bet. In his last 5 home games, he has averaged 11.8 disposals, exceeding the set line of 9.5. Additionally, Pittonet has been consistent in contested possessions (7.8) and kicks (4.6) at home. Facing Melbourne, against whom he averages 10 disposals, further boosts his chances. His current 3-game hit streak and 75.2% implied probability make Pittonet a solid choice to surpass the 9.5 disposals mark at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Marc Pittonet averaged 13.7 disposals, 0.4 goals and 1.5 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

13.7
Disposals
0.4
Goals
1.5
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Marc Pittonet recorded 11 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions11240
25 Aug 24St Kilda11105
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles20024
11 Aug 24Hawthorn10021
3 Aug 24Collingwood8000
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide13020
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs9002
30 Jun 24Richmond17021
17 May 24Sydney Swans20020
9 May 24Melbourne14114
Quick answers:How many disposals does Marc Pittonet average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Marc Pittonet (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marc Pittonet is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 19 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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