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The latest Bet Better model pick for Marc Pittonet is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:40PM UTC
AFL

Marc Pittonet

Carlton

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -303 (1.33)
+1.6% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
76.8%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
13.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.8%—75.2%1.30+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Marc Pittonet (Carlton) Over 9.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Marc Pittonet is poised to shine in this matchup based on his recent form. With a model predicting him to gather 13.2 disposals, significantly above the line of 9.5, there's a 1.6% edge favoring the over. Pittonet's strong L5 averages, especially his 11.8 disposals per home game, outshine the 9.5 line. His consistency, evident in a 3-game hit streak at home and a 75% hit rate, makes this bet enticing. Facing Melbourne, against whom he averages 10 disposals, further boosts his chances of exceeding 9.5 disposals. With a current hit streak, reliable performance metrics, and favorable matchup, Pittonet's Over 9.5 disposals bet appears promising for this AFL clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
13.3avg disposals recent
Season best20
Disposals last 10avg 13.3 · hi 20 · lo 8
142017913810201111

Marc Pittonet has a disposals high of 20 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Marc Pittonet (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marc Pittonet is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 19 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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