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AFL

Marc Pittonet

Carlton

+1.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -303 (1.33)
+1.6% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 19 Jul, 9:35AM
Model Probability
76.7%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
13.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Marc Pittonet (Carlton) Over 9.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Marc Pittonet's recent form, especially in home games, showcases his consistency in exceeding 9.5 disposals. With an average of 11.8 disposals in his last five home games and facing Melbourne, against whom he averages 10 disposals, he is likely to surpass the set line. Pittonet's strong contested possessions (7.8) and intercepts (2) contribute to his disposal count. His current three-game hit streak at home and a high disposalefficiency of 68.2% further support this bet. Considering his overall performance averaging 12.2 disposals, Pittonet's form, opponent matchup, and home advantage make him a reliable choice to continue his trend of exceeding 9.5 disposals in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 9.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 9.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Marc Pittonet (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Marc Pittonet is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 19 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.