Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Lincoln McCarthy

Brisbane Lions

+5.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -227 (1.44)
+5.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 28 Mar, 1:35AM
Model Probability
74.5%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+5.1%
Predicted Value
13.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane Lions) Over 10.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lincoln McCarthy is poised to make a significant impact in the upcoming clash against St Kilda. In his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging 11 disposals, surpassing the proposed line of 10.5. With a recent contested possessions average of 6 and an impressive disposal efficiency of 64.2%, McCarthy is not only a ball magnet but also a precise distributor. His ability to cover ground is evident, racking up an average of 216.4 meters gained per game. Facing St Kilda, McCarthy has historically elevated his game, with an average of 12 disposals in their recent encounters. Additionally, boasting a solid hit rate of 7/9 in his last games, McCarthy is in fine form. Expect him to continue this trend and comfortably exceed the 10.5 disposal line, making him a compelling Over bet for this showdown.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 10.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Goals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Lincoln McCarthy is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.