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AFL

Lincoln McCarthy

Brisbane Lions

+2.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -256 (1.39)
+2.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
74.5%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
13.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane Lions) Over 10.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Lincoln McCarthy stands out like a beacon in the night sky. This sharpshooter has been on a tear lately, averaging an impressive 12.4 disposals per game in his last five away matches. Facing Melbourne, who he's historically tallied 9.8 disposals against, McCarthy’s current form suggests he's primed to surpass the 10.5 disposals line set by sportsbet. With a knack for contested possessions and efficient ball use, McCarthy's recent numbers point to a player in fine touch. Add in his consistent trend of hitting his disposal mark, including a 3-game streak on the road, and the smart money is on Lincoln McCarthy to rack up the possessions and deliver for the Lions in a pivotal clash at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 10.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Lincoln McCarthy is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 19 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.