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The latest Bet Better model pick for Levi Ashcroft is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 63%, edge +7.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 7:49PM UTC
AFL

Levi Ashcroft

Brisbane Lions

+7.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -169 (1.59) · $100→$159
+7.7% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
19.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.6% · the book's price implies 62.9% · gap +7.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.6%—62.9%1.42+7.7%

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AI Analysis

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Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals (-169)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dive into why Levi Ashcroft is a prime target for the 'Disposals Over' play in the upcoming Brisbane Lions vs. Hawthorn Hawks clash at the Gabba. Ashcroft, playing on home turf, has been a possession magnet lately, averaging a solid 20.8 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form showcases an impressive 75.2% disposal efficiency, ensuring he makes his possessions count. Against Hawthorn, he's been even more prolific, averaging 20.5 disposals in their last five encounters. With Ashcroft's current hot streak of 3 games hitting the mark at home, he's poised to continue his dominance. The model predicting him to hit 19.2 disposals with a 7.7% edge reinforces the confidence in this bet. Back Ashcroft to surpass 16.5 disposals and keep the chains moving for the Lions.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Levi Ashcroft - AFL Disposals market.

Quick answers:How many disposals does Levi Ashcroft average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 16.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 15.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Levi Ashcroft is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions on Friday 7 August at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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