Kamdyn McIntosh (Richmond) Under 15.5 Disposals (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Kamdyn McIntosh is likely to stay under 15.5 disposals based on his recent performance trend. Despite averaging 12.6 disposals in his last five home games, he faces an opponent where he historically averages 11 disposals. With his current form and matchup, McIntosh's recent turnover average of 2 per game and lower contested possessions (4.6 avg) suggest he may struggle to reach the 15.5 line. Additionally, his overall disposals average of 16.4 is slightly above the line, but his hit rate of 7/12 in the last 12 games indicates inconsistency. Utilizing these insights, the model's prediction of 14 disposals with a standard deviation of 5 supports the rationale to bet on McIntosh staying under 15.5 disposals.