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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 70%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:58PM UTC
AFL

Josh Weddle

Hawthorn

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
+2.6% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
16.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.0% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.0%—70.4%1.37+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Weddle (Hawthorn) Over 13.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to targeting player disposals in the AFL, Josh Weddle of the Hawthorn Hawks stands out as a prime candidate to surpass the 13.5 line against the Port Adelaide Power. Over his last 5 home games, Weddle has been a midfield maestro, averaging 16.6 disposals per match. His ability to find space and accumulate possessions is evident, with an impressive 75.8% disposal efficiency. Not only does he find the ball consistently with 8.6 kicks and 8 handballs per game, but he also gains valuable metres for his team, averaging 373.8 metres gained. Facing Port Adelaide recently, Weddle has averaged 16.2 disposals, showcasing his ability to perform against this opponent. With a strong hit rate in both home and overall games, backing Weddle to go over 13.5 disposals is a smart bet with a high probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Josh Weddle averaged 14.2 disposals, 0.4 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

14.2
Disposals
0.4
Goals
4.0
Marks
1.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Josh Weddle recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14024
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs14020
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16132
18 Aug 24Richmond13061
11 Aug 24Carlton18361
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS14130
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows13024
20 Jul 24Collingwood14050
13 Jul 24Fremantle10151
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats7010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Weddle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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