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AFL

Josh Weddle

Hawthorn

Value call

Josh Weddle (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: over 12.5 disposals that pays $158 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
15.8 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.1% · before adjusting for past results 74.9% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 5:15 PM AEST
Josh Weddle
over 12.5 disposals
Disposals Over 12.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.80 Odds-172
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 24, 5:10AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.9%64.1%63.3%1.56+11.6%

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AI Analysis

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Josh Weddle Over 12.5 Disposals (-172)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Josh Weddle to get over 12.5 disposals look promising. The Brisbane Lions have been on a roll, winning 9 of their last 10 games and typically coming out ahead by over 31 points in their matches. They also average nearly 50 points before half-time, showing they can dominate early on, which could give Weddle plenty of opportunities to rack up disposals. However, Hawthorn is no push-over, and they might keep the contest closer than expected. Still, with Weddle's recent form and Brisbane's strong performance, our numbers suggest he has a good chance to hit the over on disposals. Just remember, this bet can still go the other way!

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Josh Weddle averaged 14.2 disposals, 0.4 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

14.2
Disposals
0.4
Goals
4.0
Marks
1.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Josh Weddle recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14024
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs14020
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16132
18 Aug 24Richmond13061
11 Aug 24Carlton18361
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS14130
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows13024
20 Jul 24Collingwood14050
13 Jul 24Fremantle10151
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats7010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -172 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Weddle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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