Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 82%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:06PM UTC
AFL

Josh Weddle

Hawthorn

Value call

Josh Weddle (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 10.5 that pays $122 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -455 (1.22) · $100→$122
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 7:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
15.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 76.0% · before adjusting for past results 85.9% · the book's price implies 82.0% · gap -6.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals85.9%76.0%82.0%1.32+3.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Josh Weddle Over 10.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Josh Weddle to have over 10.5 disposals look pretty solid. The Brisbane Lions are on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 matches and crushing their opponents by an average of over 31 points. They've been really strong in the first halves, scoring nearly 50 points before the break in their last 12 games, which gives Weddle a great chance to get involved early and rack up those disposals. However, the matchup against Hawthorn could be tricky since they are tough competitors at home. Still, our numbers show Weddle is a strong favorite for this bet. He should have plenty of opportunities to shine, especially with how well Brisbane is playing lately. Just remember, no bet is a guarantee, but this one looks promising!

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Josh Weddle averaged 14.2 disposals, 0.4 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

14.2
Disposals
0.4
Goals
4.0
Marks
1.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Josh Weddle recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14024
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs14020
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16132
18 Aug 24Richmond13061
11 Aug 24Carlton18361
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS14130
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows13024
20 Jul 24Collingwood14050
13 Jul 24Fremantle10151
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats7010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Josh Weddle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.