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AFL

Jaspa Fletcher

Brisbane Lions

+5.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -164 (1.61)
+5.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
67.1%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+5.0%
Predicted Value
21.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jaspa Fletcher is a strong bet for Over 19.5 disposals in the upcoming game at Gabba. With a model prediction of 21.7, a 5.0% edge, and recent averages above this line, his consistent performance stands out. Fletcher's L5 home games show he exceeds this line comfortably, averaging 20.4 disposals. Additionally, his 78.4% disposal efficiency and 5.2 intercepts per game highlight his impact. Facing Gold Coast Suns, against whom he averages 18 disposals, Fletcher's current form with 8 consecutive hits and a 3-game home hit streak make this bet appealing. Trust in Fletcher's reliability and home advantage to secure this Over bet at sportsbet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 68.0% (34/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 19.5 Over -164 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 19.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 19.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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