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AFL

Jarrod Berry

Brisbane Lions

+0.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -303 (1.33)
+0.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 28 Mar, 1:35AM
Model Probability
76.1%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
20.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jarrod Berry (Brisbane Lions) Over 16.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mate, if you're looking to back a solid bet for the upcoming clash between the St Kilda Saints and the Brisbane Lions, keep a keen eye on Jarrod Berry. The hard-nosed Lion has been tearing up the field lately, averaging a hefty 16.2 disposals per game in his last five away matches. With an impressive disposal efficiency of 77.7% and a knack for gaining crucial meters, Berry is poised to meet and exceed the 16.5 disposal line set by the bookies. Against St Kilda, he's even more lethal, boasting an average of 18 disposals in their recent encounters. With a hot hand and the stats to back it up, Berry looks primed to snag those crucial possessions and help push the Lions to victory in Melbourne. Lock in that Over 16.5 disposals for Berry, and watch him dominate the midfield battle come game day.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 16.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jarrod Berry (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Jarrod Berry is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.