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AFL

Jarrod Berry

Brisbane Lions

+1.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17)
+1.5% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
86.9%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
20.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jarrod Berry (Brisbane Lions) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jarrod Berry's recent form, especially in home games, supports betting on him to surpass 14.5 disposals against Gold Coast. With an average of 19.8 disposals and a 100% hit rate in his last 20 home games, Berry's consistency is evident. His matchup history against Gold Coast also bodes well, averaging 18.5 disposals in his last five encounters. Additionally, Berry's strong contested possessions (6) and intercepts (4.6) indicate his involvement in the game. Coupled with a solid disposal efficiency of 73.8% and a current hit streak of 30 at home, the model's prediction of 20.1 disposals with a 1.5% edge reinforces the confidence in this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 66.0% (33/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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