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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jamie Elliott is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 96%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:40PM UTC
AFL

Jamie Elliott

Collingwood

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+10.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
96.1%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value
1.9 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals96.1%—85.5%1.04+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Jamie Elliott of the Collingwood Magpies stands out as a solid pick for the upcoming clash against the Carlton Blues at the MCG. Over his last five away games, Elliott has been a scoring machine, averaging an impressive 1.6 goals per game. His accuracy in front of the big sticks has been on point at 59.3%, making him a reliable finisher when the opportunity arises. With an average of 2.8 shots at goal and 4.6 score involvements per game in away fixtures, Elliott consistently puts himself in positions to impact the scoreboard. Facing Carlton, against whom he has averaged 2 goals in their previous encounters, Elliott's recent form and goal-scoring knack make him a strong candidate to bag at least one goal in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
12.7avg disposals recent
Season best16
Disposals last 10avg 12.7 · hi 15 · lo 10
14111311101514151113

Jamie Elliott has a disposals high of 16 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.1avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.1 · hi 2 · lo 0
1212111101

Jamie Elliott has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jamie Elliott is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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