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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jamie Elliott is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 96 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 96%, implied 85%, edge +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 8:37PM UTC
AFL

Jamie Elliott

Collingwood

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+10.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
96 in 100
Predicted
1.9 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 96.1% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +10.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals96.1%85.5%1.04+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Jamie Elliott of the Collingwood Magpies stands out as a solid pick for the upcoming clash against the Carlton Blues at the MCG. Over his last five away games, Elliott has been a scoring machine, averaging an impressive 1.6 goals per game. His accuracy in front of the big sticks has been on point at 59.3%, making him a reliable finisher when the opportunity arises. With an average of 2.8 shots at goal and 4.6 score involvements per game in away fixtures, Elliott consistently puts himself in positions to impact the scoreboard. Facing Carlton, against whom he has averaged 2 goals in their previous encounters, Elliott's recent form and goal-scoring knack make him a strong candidate to bag at least one goal in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jamie Elliott averaged 13.1 disposals, 1.4 goals and 3.9 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

13.1
Disposals
1.4
Goals
3.9
Marks
2.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Jamie Elliott recorded 13 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne13163
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions11055
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans15142
3 Aug 24Carlton14112
28 Jul 24Richmond15170
20 Jul 24Hawthorn10123
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats11251
3 May 24Carlton13146
25 Apr 24Essendon11224
20 Apr 24Port Adelaide14111
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jamie Elliott (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jamie Elliott is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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