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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Hopper is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +3.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Jacob Hopper

Richmond

+3.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -250 (1.40)
+3.5% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
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Model Probability
74.9%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+3.5%
Predicted Value
24.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.9%71.4%1.33+3.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob Hopper (Richmond) Over 21.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jacob Hopper lining up for the Richmond Tigers against North Melbourne Kangaroos, the stats paint a compelling picture for hitting the Over 21.5 disposals mark. Hopper's recent performances, averaging 23.2 disposals in his last five away games, showcase his ability to consistently find the footy. His knack for gaining meters (226.2 avg) and maintaining a solid disposal efficiency (57.2%) underlines his impact on the game. Against North Melbourne specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 24.8 disposals in their past encounters. With a current hit streak and a history of hitting the mark, all signs point to Hopper being a prime candidate to surpass 21.5 disposals in this matchup. Trust in Hopper to continue his ball-winning ways and back him to rack up the touches in this clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
23.7avg disposals recent
Season best28
Disposals last 10avg 23.7 · hi 28 · lo 18
23252628252020281824

Jacob Hopper has a disposals high of 28 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 21.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 18.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 21.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jacob Hopper (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Hopper is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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