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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Hopper is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 88%, edge +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 3:43AM UTC
AFL

Jacob Hopper

Richmond

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+1.3% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
24.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.8% · the book's price implies 88.5% · gap +1.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.8%88.5%1.11+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob Hopper (Richmond) Over 18.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing prime opportunities in footy betting, Jacob Hopper stands out like a specky grab on Grand Final day. The midfield maestro has been carving up opposition defenses like a hot knife through butter, averaging a crisp 23.2 disposals over his last five away games. Facing off against North Melbourne, a team he's already been snagging 24.8 disposals against lately, the stage is set for Hopper to keep the possession train rolling. With a recent hit streak of 4 and a solid 88.5% implied probability to eclipse the 18.5 disposals line, betting on Hopper to hit the over feels as safe as a mark in the goal square. Lock it in, back the trend, and watch Hopper split the middle with his disposal count come game day at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jacob Hopper averaged 23.8 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

23.8
Disposals
0.3
Goals
3.7
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jacob Hopper recorded 24 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS24035
18 Aug 24Hawthorn18135
11 Aug 24St Kilda28022
3 Aug 24North Melbourne20025
28 Jul 24Collingwood20053
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide25044
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS28032
6 Jul 24Fremantle26054
30 Jun 24Carlton25075
24 Apr 24Melbourne23022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jacob Hopper (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Hopper is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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