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AFL

Hugh McCluggage

Brisbane Lions

+0.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -588 (1.17)
+0.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 28 Mar, 1:35AM
Model Probability
86.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
27.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) Over 21.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dive into why Hugh McCluggage is a solid pick to go over 21.5 disposals against St Kilda. McCluggage has been in red-hot form, averaging a whopping 27.8 disposals in his last five away games. His efficiency at 66.6% ensures he makes those possessions count. Plus, he's been a real thorn in St Kilda's side, averaging 23.2 disposals against them in their last encounters. With an impressive 400.6 meters gained on average, McCluggage is not just racking up numbers but driving his team forward. Backed by his recent form and matchup history, McCluggage looks primed to snag a big haul of possessions in this game. It's a bet that just makes sense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 57.1% (4/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 21.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 20.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 23.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 57.1% (4/7). The latest model pick for Hugh McCluggage is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.