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AFL

Hugh McCluggage

Brisbane Lions

+7.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -769 (1.13)
+7.0% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
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Model Probability
95.5%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+7.0%
Predicted Value
27.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) Over 18.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to consistent midfield production, Hugh McCluggage stands out as a prime contender for surpassing the 18.5 disposal line against North Melbourne. In his last five away games, the dynamic Lion has averaged a hefty 27.8 disposals, showcasing his ability to find the footy with ease. With an impressive disposal efficiency of 66.6% and significant metres gained at 400.6 on average in away matches, McCluggage is not just a volume player but a quality ball distributor. His recent form against North Melbourne has also been stellar, averaging a commendable 29 disposals when facing them away. McCluggage's knack for generating turnovers sits at a manageable 4.6 per game, indicating his reliability in possession. Backing McCluggage to eclipse 18.5 disposals seems like a smart play given his recent consistency and favorable matchup dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 33.3% (2/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 18.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 19.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 20.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (2/6). The latest model pick for Hugh McCluggage is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.0% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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