Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harrison Petty is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
AFL

Harrison Petty

Melbourne

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -233 (1.43)
+5.6% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.5%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+5.6%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals75.5%—69.9%1.32+5.6%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Harrison Petty (Melbourne) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harrison Petty, with a model prediction of scoring at least one goal in this upcoming home game, presents a solid bet opportunity. His recent performance, averaging 1.6 goals in the last five home games, along with a 60.0% goal accuracy, indicates a strong scoring potential. With an average of 3 shots at goal and 1.4 inside 50s per game, Petty actively contributes to the offensive plays. Additionally, his ability to be involved in scoring opportunities, averaging 4.8 score involvements, enhances his goal-scoring prospects. Considering his opponent's weak defense in allowing goals to defenders recently, Petty's form and the statistical edge make him a favorable choice to snag a goal in this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.6avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 0.6 · hi 3 · lo 0
0100110030

Harrison Petty has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Harrison Petty (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harrison Petty is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 10 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks