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AFL

Harrison Petty

Melbourne

Value call

Harrison Petty (Melbourne) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $144 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
1.1 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 76.0% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +6.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 3:15 PM AEST
Harrison Petty
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
Value call
HIGHWins about 76 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.40 Odds-227
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harrison Petty is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 69%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:03PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals76.0%—69.4%1.32+6.6%

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AI Analysis

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Harrison Petty (Melbourne) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harrison Petty is a solid bet to score anytime against the Western Bulldogs at the MCG based on his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 home games and a 60.0% goal accuracy, Petty has been consistent in converting his opportunities. Additionally, his average of 1.4 inside 50s and 1.6 marks inside 50 suggest he is getting in dangerous positions to snag a goal. Considering the Bulldogs' defense and Petty's recent performance, the model's prediction of 1.1 goals with a 6.6% edge makes this bet appealing. Petty's ability to be involved in scoring plays, evident from his 4.8 score involvements on average, further supports his goal-scoring potential in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harrison Petty averaged 8.9 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.8 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

8.9
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.8
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Harrison Petty recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood9042
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS9381
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide13078
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs9062
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS10163
21 Jul 24Fremantle15165
13 Jul 24Essendon6025
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions15084
22 Jun 24North Melbourne11161
10 Jun 24Collingwood9042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harrison Petty (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harrison Petty is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 10 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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