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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harrison Petty is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:37PM UTC
AFL

Harrison Petty

Melbourne

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+5.6% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.5%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+5.6%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals75.5%—69.9%1.32+5.6%

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AI Analysis

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Harrison Petty (Melbourne) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harrison Petty, with a model prediction of scoring at least one goal in this upcoming home game, presents a solid bet opportunity. His recent performance, averaging 1.6 goals in the last five home games, along with a 60.0% goal accuracy, indicates a strong scoring potential. With an average of 3 shots at goal and 1.4 inside 50s per game, Petty actively contributes to the offensive plays. Additionally, his ability to be involved in scoring opportunities, averaging 4.8 score involvements, enhances his goal-scoring prospects. Considering his opponent's weak defense in allowing goals to defenders recently, Petty's form and the statistical edge make him a favorable choice to snag a goal in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.6avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 0.6 · hi 3 · lo 0
0100110030

Harrison Petty has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harrison Petty (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harrison Petty is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 10 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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