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AFL

Eric Hipwood

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Eric Hipwood (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $133 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
66 in 100
Predicted
1.4 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.6% · before adjusting for past results 78.4% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap -9.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Eric Hipwood
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
Value call
HIGHWins about 66 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.30 Odds-303
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Eric Hipwood is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 66%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 11:59PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals78.4%65.6%75.2%1.52+3.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Eric Hipwood Over 0.5 Goals (-303)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Eric Hipwood to score at least one goal are looking good. Our numbers show he's a strong favorite to find the net in this game. Fremantle tends to get the ball into their scoring area a lot more often than Brisbane, which could give Hipwood plenty of chances to score. However, Fremantle does lose the contested ball a bit, which means they might struggle to keep possession. That said, Hipwood's scoring ability makes him a solid pick. While nothing is guaranteed, everything points to him getting on the scoreboard today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Eric Hipwood averaged 10.8 disposals, 1.4 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

10.8
Disposals
1.4
Goals
5.6
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Eric Hipwood has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.570%
o11.540%
o12.530%
o13.510%
o14.510%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Eric Hipwood is averaging 11.8 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.8
Disp · Overall
2.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Eric Hipwood recorded 9 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans9131
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats10151
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS7151
7 Sep 24Carlton15072
24 Aug 24Essendon9131
17 Aug 24Collingwood8041
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS10181
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans10062
14 Jul 24West Coast Eagles8252
7 Jul 24Adelaide Crows12160
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Eric Hipwood (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Eric Hipwood is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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