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The latest Bet Better model pick for Eric Hipwood is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 2:01PM UTC
AFL

Eric Hipwood

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Eric Hipwood (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: Goals Over 0.5 that pays $129 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -345 (1.29) · $100→$129
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
1.4 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.4% · the book's price implies 77.5% · gap +0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals78.4%—77.5%1.27+0.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Eric Hipwood Over 0.5 Goals (-345)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Eric Hipwood to score at least one goal are looking pretty good. Both teams have been scoring a lot lately, with Brisbane averaging nearly 50 points before half-time in their last 12 games. Fremantle has also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10 and coming out ahead by almost 29 points per game. The biggest risk here is how close the two teams are in recent performances, with Brisbane winning 9 of their last 10. Still, Hipwood has a solid chance to find the net given how both teams are playing. With the way the game is shaping up, this bet feels like a promising pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Eric Hipwood's lines for Sat 26 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 0.5

Eric Hipwood's goals line is 0.5.

Season averages (2024)

Eric Hipwood averaged 10.8 disposals, 1.4 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

10.8
Disposals
1.4
Goals
5.6
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Eric Hipwood has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.570%
o11.540%
o12.530%
o13.510%
o14.510%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Eric Hipwood is averaging 11.8 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.8
Disp · Overall
2.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Eric Hipwood recorded 9 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans9131
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats10151
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS7151
7 Sep 24Carlton15072
24 Aug 24Essendon9131
17 Aug 24Collingwood8041
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS10181
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans10062
14 Jul 24West Coast Eagles8252
7 Jul 24Adelaide Crows12160
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -233 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Eric Hipwood (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Eric Hipwood is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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