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The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 1:21AM UTC
AFL

Elijah Hollands

Carlton

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -256 (1.39)
+2.2% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
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Model Probability
74.1%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
17.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.1%—71.9%1.35+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Elijah Hollands (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL betting, finding an edge is crucial, and Elijah Hollands presents a compelling case for hitting the Over 14.5 disposals mark against Melbourne at the MCG. In his last five home games, Hollands has been a midfield maestro, averaging 19 disposals with a solid 76.4% efficiency. His recent form includes 12.6 kicks and 6.4 handballs per game, showcasing his ability to impact the game both offensively and defensively. With an average of 2.2 intercepts and 279.8 meters gained per game, Hollands is a key playmaker for Carlton. Considering his consistent performance and recent hit streak, backing Hollands to exceed 14.5 disposals in this matchup looks like a smart play for punters looking to capitalize on his midfield prowess and playmaking skills.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
19.2avg disposals recent
Season best25
Disposals last 10avg 19.2 · hi 25 · lo 14
20161916202114252219

Elijah Hollands has a disposals high of 25 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 13.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Elijah Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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