SYSTEM STATUS: Online SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1086.7 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +415.4 units this season WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +180) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.8% over 30 days WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 1.5 @ +640) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 2 @ +525) WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Cleveland Guardians @ +102) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1109.7 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +176) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1086.7 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +415.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +180) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.8% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +167) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 1.5 @ +640) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 2 @ +525) RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Cleveland Guardians @ +102) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1109.7 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions 13.5 @ -111) RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +176)
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AFL

Elijah Hollands

Carlton

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -256 (1.39)
+2.2% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
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Model Probability
74.1%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
17.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Elijah Hollands (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL betting, finding an edge is crucial, and Elijah Hollands presents a compelling case for hitting the Over 14.5 disposals mark against Melbourne at the MCG. In his last five home games, Hollands has been a midfield maestro, averaging 19 disposals with a solid 76.4% efficiency. His recent form includes 12.6 kicks and 6.4 handballs per game, showcasing his ability to impact the game both offensively and defensively. With an average of 2.2 intercepts and 279.8 meters gained per game, Hollands is a key playmaker for Carlton. Considering his consistent performance and recent hit streak, backing Hollands to exceed 14.5 disposals in this matchup looks like a smart play for punters looking to capitalize on his midfield prowess and playmaking skills.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 13.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Elijah Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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