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AFL

Elijah Hollands

Carlton

Value call

Elijah Hollands (Carlton) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $139 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
17.7 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.1% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap +2.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar, 3:15 PM AEDT
Elijah Hollands
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.90 Odds-256
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:06PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 21°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.1%—71.9%1.35+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Elijah Hollands (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winners, Elijah Hollands stands out as a beacon of consistency for the Carlton Blues. With an average of 19 disposals in his last five home games, he's been a pivotal figure in orchestrating their midfield play. What sets Elijah apart is his versatility – equally adept at finding his teammates with precise handballs (6.4 avg) or piercing the opposition defense with his kicks (12.6 avg). His recent form at the MCG has been stellar, averaging 5.4 contested possessions and 13.6 uncontested possessions per game, showcasing his ability to excel in all facets of the game. Facing Melbourne, against whom he's averaged 12 disposals in his last five encounters, Elijah is primed to surpass the 14.5 disposal line and deliver for the Blues once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Elijah Hollands averaged 17.8 disposals, 0.8 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
0.8
Goals
4.5
Marks
2.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Elijah Hollands recorded 19 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions19131
25 Aug 24St Kilda22071
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles25063
11 Aug 24Hawthorn14172
3 Aug 24Collingwood21261
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide20064
21 Jul 24North Melbourne16025
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs19144
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS16024
30 Jun 24Richmond20172
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 13.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Elijah Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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