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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 80%, implied 80%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 6:38AM UTC
AFL

Elijah Hollands

Carlton

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
+0.2% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 21°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
17.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.2% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals80.2%80.0%1.25+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Elijah Hollands (Carlton) Over 13.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to putting your hard-earned cash on the line, you want a sure bet. Elijah Hollands, the rising star for the Carlton Blues, is red hot at the moment. With an average of 19 disposals in his last five home games, he's not just meeting expectations; he's smashing them. Hollands is a game-changer, consistently getting his hands on the ball with an impressive disposal efficiency of 76.4%. Facing Melbourne, a team he's averaged 12 disposals against in his last five matchups, he's poised to up his game. With recent form showing a hit streak of 3 at home and 4 overall, the smart money is on Elijah to snag over 13.5 possessions in this clash at the hallowed MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Elijah Hollands averaged 17.8 disposals, 0.8 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
0.8
Goals
4.5
Marks
2.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Elijah Hollands recorded 19 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions19131
25 Aug 24St Kilda22071
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles25063
11 Aug 24Hawthorn14172
3 Aug 24Collingwood21261
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide20064
21 Jul 24North Melbourne16025
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs19144
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS16024
30 Jun 24Richmond20172
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Elijah Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Hollands is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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