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AFL

Calsher Dear

Hawthorn

+10.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -303 (1.33)
+10.0% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 12 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
85.2%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+10.0%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Calsher Dear is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Hawthorn Hawks matchup. With a model prediction of 1.3 goals, a 10.0% edge, and facing an opponent where he averages 1 goal in the last 5 games, Dear's recent performance supports this bet. Despite a slightly lower average of 0.8 goals in his last 5 away games, his consistent involvement in scoring opportunities, as shown by 3 score involvements per game, and an average of 1.6 shots at goal, indicate he's active in the forward line. Additionally, his marks inside 50 and inside 50s stats suggest he's well-positioned to capitalize on scoring chances, making him a promising choice to hit the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Calsher Dear is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.0% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 12 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.