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The latest Bet Better model pick for Calsher Dear is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 79%, for a model edge of +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Calsher Dear

Hawthorn

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -370 (1.27)
+3.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
78.7%
Model Edge
+3.7%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals82.4%—78.7%1.21+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Goals (-370)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a player who knows how to split the middle and snag a goal, look no further than Calsher Dear of the Hawthorn Hawks. With an average of 1.6 goals per game in his last five home matches and a solid 55.0% goal accuracy, Dear has been a key sharpshooter for the Hawks. Facing off against Port Adelaide, a team he's averaged 2 goals against in his recent home games, the stage is set for Dear to showcase his scoring prowess once again. His recent form, with a streak of 1 goal in each of his last games, indicates he's in prime position to bag one more goal and help you secure the Over 0.5 bet in the 'Player Goals Over/Under' market. Trust in Dear to deliver the goods in front of the home crowd at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.6avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 1.6 · hi 3 · lo 0
0202033231

Calsher Dear has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -370 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Calsher Dear is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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