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AFL

Calsher Dear

Hawthorn

+10.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -303 (1.33)
+10.0% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 12 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
85.2%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+10.0%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Calsher Dear is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Hawthorn Hawks matchup. With a model prediction of 1.3 goals, a 10.0% edge, and facing an opponent where he averages 1 goal in the last 5 games, Dear's recent performance supports this bet. Despite a slightly lower average of 0.8 goals in his last 5 away games, his consistent involvement in scoring opportunities, as shown by 3 score involvements per game, and an average of 1.6 shots at goal, indicate he's active in the forward line. Additionally, his marks inside 50 and inside 50s stats suggest he's well-positioned to capitalize on scoring chances, making him a promising choice to hit the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 58.0% (29/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending

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