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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Calsher Dear is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 82%, implied 79%, edge +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:42PM UTC
AFL

Calsher Dear

Hawthorn

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -370 (1.27) · $100→$127
+3.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.4% · the book's price implies 78.7% · gap +3.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals82.4%78.7%1.21+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Goals (-370)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a player who knows how to split the middle and snag a goal, look no further than Calsher Dear of the Hawthorn Hawks. With an average of 1.6 goals per game in his last five home matches and a solid 55.0% goal accuracy, Dear has been a key sharpshooter for the Hawks. Facing off against Port Adelaide, a team he's averaged 2 goals against in his recent home games, the stage is set for Dear to showcase his scoring prowess once again. His recent form, with a streak of 1 goal in each of his last games, indicates he's in prime position to bag one more goal and help you secure the Over 0.5 bet in the 'Player Goals Over/Under' market. Trust in Dear to deliver the goods in front of the home crowd at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Calsher Dear averaged 7.0 disposals, 1.5 goals and 2.7 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

7.0
Disposals
1.5
Goals
2.7
Marks
2.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Calsher Dear recorded 5 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide5114
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs10354
24 Aug 24North Melbourne4221
18 Aug 24Richmond12342
11 Aug 24Carlton12351
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS5001
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows12223
20 Jul 24Collingwood4024
13 Jul 24Fremantle7232
30 Jun 24West Coast Eagles1010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Calsher Dear is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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