Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Under 26.5 Disposals (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Dayne Zorko's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure in the Lions' midfield, racking up an average of 27.2 disposals over his last five home games. However, facing Port Adelaide, who have limited him to an average of 17.5 disposals in their last five encounters, poses a challenge. Zorko's recent contested possessions have been solid at 4.2 per game, but his turnovers have crept up to an average of 4. With the model predicting him to hit around 23.9 disposals, indicating a 15.5% edge to the under, the stats suggest Zorko may struggle to reach the 26.5 line. Factor in his slight downturn in disposals efficiency and the home advantage not being a significant boost for him recently, and the under on Zorko's disposals seems like a smart play for this matchup at the Gabba.