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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dayne Zorko is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC
AFL

Dayne Zorko

Brisbane Lions

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -833 (1.12)
+1.3% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
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Model Probability
90.6%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value
26.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.6%—89.3%1.10+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dayne Zorko's recent form, averaging 25.2 disposals in his last five away games and hitting an impressive 6-game streak, suggests he's in top form. Facing Geelong, against whom he averages 24.4 disposals away and 30.8 overall, Zorko's consistency makes him a reliable choice to surpass the 19.5 disposals line. His strong contested possessions (5 avg) and metres gained (571.2 avg) further support his ability to influence the game. With a model predicting 26.1 disposals and a narrow 1.3% edge, Zorko's track record and matchup history indicate a high likelihood of exceeding the line despite the odds favoring it heavily.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
27.7avg disposals recent
Season best40
Disposals last 10avg 27.7 · hi 32 · lo 24
29322624262829253226

Dayne Zorko has a disposals high of 40 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dayne Zorko is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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