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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brody Mihocek is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 78%, edge +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 3:49AM UTC
AFL

Brody Mihocek

Melbourne

+12.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -345 (1.29) · $100→$129
+12.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
1.5 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.4% · the book's price implies 77.5% · gap +12.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals90.4%—77.5%1.11+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Brody Mihocek (Melbourne) Over 0.5 Goals (-345)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brody Mihocek is our man for the 'Over 0.5 Goals' bet in the Melbourne vs. Brisbane clash. Mihocek has been on a tear lately, bagging an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games. His sharpshooting has seen him hit the scoreboard consistently, with a rock-solid 45.3% goal accuracy. In his recent matches against Brisbane, he's notched up an average of 1.2 goals, showing he's got the Lions' number. Mihocek's been a pivotal figure in the forward line, with an average of 3.6 score involvements and 2.6 shots at goal per game. With his current form boasting a perfect 5/5 hit rate, including 3 consecutive home game goal streak, Mihocek is primed to split the middle and deliver for the Dees at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Brody Mihocek averaged 10.4 disposals, 1.7 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 11 games in 2024.

10.4
Disposals
1.7
Goals
3.7
Marks
2.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (5 Jul 24 vs Essendon), Brody Mihocek recorded 6 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
5 Jul 24Essendon6120
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS11220
24 May 24Fremantle12251
3 May 24Carlton9044
25 Apr 24Essendon15370
20 Apr 24Port Adelaide9342
7 Apr 24Hawthorn8225
28 Mar 24Brisbane Lions10356
21 Mar 24St Kilda13055
15 Mar 24Sydney Swans7026
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brody Mihocek (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brody Mihocek is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 19 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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