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AFL

Brody Mihocek

Melbourne

+8.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -455 (1.22)
+8.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
90.4%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+8.4%
Predicted Value
1.5 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brody Mihocek (Melbourne) Over 0.5 Goals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Brody Mihocek's recent form, it's clear he's on a tear. With a stellar streak of 5 goals in his last 5 games, including a solid average of 1.6 goals per game, he's been a consistent offensive threat. In his last 5 home games, he's been even deadlier, averaging 1.4 goals per game. Facing off against the Brisbane Lions, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 1.2 goals in their matchups, the stage is set for Mihocek to snag another goal. His accuracy has been improving too, hitting the target 60.3% of the time recently. Given his current hit streak of 3 at home and 5 overall, Mihocek is poised to split the middle and bag at least one goal in this upcoming clash at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✗ MISS
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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About This Player

Brody Mihocek (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). The latest model pick for Brody Mihocek is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 19 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.