Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bobby Hill is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +8.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:16PM UTC
AFL
Bobby Hill
Collingwood
Latest Model Pick
Goals
Over 0.5
-286 (1.35) · $100→$135
+8.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies
@
Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 7 Aug, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Implied Probability
74.1%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Goals | 82.7% | — | 74.1% | 1.21 | +8.6% |
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Bobby Hill (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-286)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Bobby Hill is a strong bet to snag a goal in the upcoming Hawks vs. Magpies clash. With a solid average of 1.8 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he's historically netted 1.5 goals, Hill's chances look promising. His recent away game metrics paint a picture of consistency with 3.6 shots at goal and 51.7% goal accuracy. His involvement in scoring opportunities is evident with 4.8 score involvements per game. The model's prediction of 1.2 goals aligns well with his recent form, indicating a solid 8.6% edge. With these stats in mind, the over on Hill as an anytime goal scorer presents a logical choice for this matchup.
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Betting angles
Markets & formGoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.5avg goals recent
Season best5
Goals last 10avg 1.5 · hi 5 · lo 0
Bobby Hill has a goals high of 5 in AFL.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Bobby Hill (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bobby Hill is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 7 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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