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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bobby Hill is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +8.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Bobby Hill

Collingwood

+8.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -286 (1.35)
+8.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 7 Aug, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
82.7%
Implied Probability
74.1%
Model Edge
+8.6%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals82.7%—74.1%1.21+8.6%

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AI Analysis

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Bobby Hill (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-286)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bobby Hill is a strong bet to snag a goal in the upcoming Hawks vs. Magpies clash. With a solid average of 1.8 goals in his last five away games and facing an opponent where he's historically netted 1.5 goals, Hill's chances look promising. His recent away game metrics paint a picture of consistency with 3.6 shots at goal and 51.7% goal accuracy. His involvement in scoring opportunities is evident with 4.8 score involvements per game. The model's prediction of 1.2 goals aligns well with his recent form, indicating a solid 8.6% edge. With these stats in mind, the over on Hill as an anytime goal scorer presents a logical choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.5avg goals recent
Season best5
Goals last 10avg 1.5 · hi 5 · lo 0
5100221202

Bobby Hill has a goals high of 5 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bobby Hill (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bobby Hill is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 7 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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