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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Miller is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 88%, implied 85%, edge +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:13AM UTC
AFL

Ben Miller

Richmond

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+2.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart, TAS · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 19°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
15.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 88.4% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +2.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals88.4%85.5%1.13+2.9%

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AI Analysis

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Ben Miller (Richmond) Over 9.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben Miller is primed to shine in the upcoming clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Brisbane Lions at Ninja Stadium. With a stellar average of 15.8 disposals in his last five home games, Miller has been a midfield powerhouse, consistently racking up possessions and driving his team forward. His recent form boasts an impressive 79.9% disposal efficiency, showcasing his ability to make every touch count. In his previous encounters against Brisbane, Miller has notched up an average of 7.6 disposals, a number he's likely to surpass given his current momentum. With a model prediction of 15.4 disposals and a solid hit rate, backing Miller to go over 9.5 disposals is a smart move. Expect him to dominate the midfield, find space, and deliver a performance that will see him comfortably exceed the line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Ben Miller averaged 12.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.7 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

12.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.7
Marks
1.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Ben Miller recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS9032
18 Aug 24Hawthorn13080
11 Aug 24St Kilda10041
3 Aug 24North Melbourne13040
28 Jul 24Collingwood16071
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide11024
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS8052
6 Jul 24Fremantle17043
30 Jun 24Carlton14061
15 Jun 24Hawthorn170121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 9.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 12.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 11.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Ben Miller (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Miller is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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