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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Miller is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +7.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Ben Miller

Richmond

+7.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -185 (1.54)
+7.3% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart, TAS · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
72.2%
Implied Probability
64.9%
Model Edge
+7.3%
Predicted Value
15.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.2%—64.9%1.38+7.3%

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AI Analysis

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Ben Miller (Richmond) Over 12.5 Disposals (-185)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dive into why Ben Miller is a prime pick for the 'Player Disposals Over' market against the Brisbane Lions. When the Tigers clash with the Lions at Ninja Stadium, all eyes will be on Miller to deliver the goods. Over his last five home games, he's been a possession machine, averaging a solid 15.8 disposals per match. With his recent form showing consistent numbers above the 12.5 line, Miller's knack for finding the footy, paired with his impressive disposal efficiency of 79.9%, makes him a reliable choice. Facing the Lions, against whom he's averaged 7.6 disposals in their last encounters, Miller is poised to step up and exceed expectations. Bet confidently on Miller to rack up the possessions and make an impact in this crucial matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
12.8avg disposals recent
Season best19
Disposals last 10avg 12.8 · hi 17 · lo 8
171417811161310139

Ben Miller has a disposals high of 19 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 12.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 11.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ben Miller (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Miller is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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