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AFL

Ben Miller

Richmond

Value call

Ben Miller (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 12.5 disposals that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
15.4 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.2% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +10.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart, TAS · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 1:10 PM AEST
Ben Miller
over 12.5 disposals
Disposals Over 12.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Miller is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:04PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 19°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.2%—61.3%1.38+10.9%

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AI Analysis

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Ben Miller (Richmond) Over 12.5 Disposals (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Ben Miller for this Sunday's clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Brisbane Lions at Ninja Stadium. Ben's been a consistent force in the midfield, averaging 15.8 disposals in his last five home games. With a solid track record against the Lions, averaging 7.6 disposals in their recent matchups, he's poised to shine. His recent form is impressive, boasting a high disposalefficiency of 79.9% at home. Plus, he's been racking up the kicks, averaging 12.6 per game. Ben's ability to read the play is evident with an average of 5 intercepts, showcasing his defensive prowess. Given the model's prediction of 15.4 disposals with a 10.9% edge, backing Ben Miller to go over 12.5 disposals seems like a smart play. The stats don't lie – Ben's primed to snag those crucial possessions and make an impact in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Ben Miller averaged 12.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.7 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

12.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.7
Marks
1.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Ben Miller recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS9032
18 Aug 24Hawthorn13080
11 Aug 24St Kilda10041
3 Aug 24North Melbourne13040
28 Jul 24Collingwood16071
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide11024
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS8052
6 Jul 24Fremantle17043
30 Jun 24Carlton14061
15 Jun 24Hawthorn170121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 12.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 11.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ben Miller (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Miller is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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