Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
Log In
AFL

Bayley Fritsch

Melbourne

+1.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -244 (1.41)
+1.0% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
72.0%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
13.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Bayley Fritsch (Melbourne) Over 10.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the numbers, Bayley Fritsch has been a consistent force at home for the Melbourne Demons. Averaging 16.8 disposals in his last 5 home games, he's been a key playmaker, especially with his 10.4 kicks per game. Fritsch's ability to cover the ground with an average of 325.4 meters gained showcases his impact in transitioning the ball forward. With his disposal efficiency sitting at a solid 71.2%, he's not just getting the ball but using it effectively. Facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he's averaged 8.6 disposals in their last encounters, Fritsch is poised to shine. Riding a hot streak with 9 hits in his last 11 games, including 3 out of 4 at home, Fritsch looks primed to surpass the 10.5 disposal mark comfortably in this clash at the MCG.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 83.3% (5/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 10.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Goals — — — Pending
21 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
15 Mar 26 St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons Goals — — — Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Bayley Fritsch (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 83.3% (5/6). The latest model pick for Bayley Fritsch is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 19 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.