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Model picks & player props
Atlanta Dream
VS
Phoenix Mercury

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 21, 8:34AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
PHX Arena, Phoenix
Indoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 2:00AM
20
Game markets graded
25
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 174.5 Alt Total Points +100

The model graded 45 markets for Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 2:00AM at PHX Arena.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.2%
The price says47.8%
Best price+100
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 174.5 Lean55% chance +100
Alt Total Points Lean56% chance —
Alt Total Points Lean58% chance —
Alt Total Points High61% chance —
Alt Total Points High60% chance —
Alt Total Points High65% chance —
Alt Total Points High64% chance —
Alt Total Points High63% chance —
Alt Total Points High66% chance —
Assists × 3 props Highup to 78% —
Points × 4 props Highup to 72% —
Rebounds × 2 props Highup to 72% —
Rebounds (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 69% —
Pts+Ast × 2 props Highup to 71% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every WNBA game on today's board →
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,239 of 1,607 right (wnba totals unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 20
Under 161
Minnesota Lynx @ Golden State Valkyries
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $215
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
184
-244
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 25 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 55,215+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix MercuryAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Atlanta Dream on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Atlanta Dream
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

ESPN BET
on Atlanta Dream
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Atlanta Dream

  • Indya Nivar GOut
  • Jaylyn Sherrod GOut
  • Brionna Jones FOut

Phoenix Mercury

  • Kelsey Plum GOut
  • Jovana Nogic GOut
Availability updated Aug 21, 1:06AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jordin Canada ATL Assists
Rhyne Howard ATL Points
DeWanna Bonner PHX Rebounds
DeWanna Bonner PHX Rebounds (Alt)
Rhyne Howard ATL Pts+Ast

+ 25 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Atlanta Dream @ Phoenix Mercury — what the model found

Our model graded 45 betting markets for Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury — 20 on the game itself and 25 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
25
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 45 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 44 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury — recent results

Phoenix Mercury have won 1 of their last 5 games; Atlanta Dream have won 4 of their last 5.

Phoenix Mercury — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L85–88PORHome
W94–87LAAway
L75–95WSHAway
L72–75CONAway
L82–96ATLAway
Atlanta Dream — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W124–88LAAway
W97–82LVAway
L91–95INDHome
W104–69CONAway
W107–95TORHome

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Phoenix Mercury won 0, Atlanta Dream won 2.

DatePhoenix MercuryAtlanta DreamWinner
Aug 58296Atlanta Dream
May 248082Atlanta Dream

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Phoenix Mercury
PlayerStatus
Kelsey Plum GOUT
Jovana Nogic GOUT
Atlanta Dream
PlayerStatus
Indya Nivar GOUT
Jaylyn Sherrod GOUT
Brionna Jones FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Atlanta Dream @ Phoenix Mercury — where the money went

Since betting opened on Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury, the market has moved away from Atlanta Dream across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Atlanta Dream -5.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Phoenix Mercury 5.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Dream vs Mercury, or as Mercury vs Dream. The next scheduled game is Sunday 23 August 2026 at PHX Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 25 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 2 meetings
Atlanta Dream 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Aug 2026Phoenix Mercury @ Atlanta Dream96–82Atlanta Dream
24 May 2026Phoenix Mercury @ Atlanta Dream82–80Atlanta Dream
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