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WNBA

Alyssa Thomas

WNBA

Value call

Alyssa Thomas has one live pick today: under 34.5 points, rebounds and assists that pays $172 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
29.6 points, rebounds and assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.3% · the book's price implies 58.1% · gap +17.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury
PHX Arena, Phoenix · Indoor
Thu 24 Sep, 10:00 PM ET
Alyssa Thomas
under 34.5 points, rebounds and assists
Pts+Reb+Ast Under 34.5 -139 (1.72) · $100→$172
Value call
HIGHWins about 75 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.20 Odds-139
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alyssa Thomas is Under 34.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 58%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 7:48PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,527 of 3,354 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Reb+Ast75.3%—58.1%1.83+17.2%

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How Often She's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces: Alyssa Thomas Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-147)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces have been on fire lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They are scoring a lot, averaging over 91 points, which puts pressure on the Phoenix Mercury's defense. Meanwhile, the Mercury have struggled, winning just 3 of their last 10 games and facing one of the toughest schedules in the league. This could make it harder for Alyssa Thomas to rack up her usual points, rebounds, and assists. We're picking under 34.5 for Thomas because even though she plays well, the Aces' strong defense and the Mercury's recent struggles could limit her overall impact. The risk here is that Thomas might have a breakout game, but with the way both teams are performing, this seems like a solid bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (35 picks) 62.9% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many points does Alyssa Thomas average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury Pts+Reb+Ast 34.5 Under -139 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury Points 14.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury Rebounds 9.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury Assists — — — Pending
21 Sep 26 Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury Pts+Ast — — — Pending
21 Sep 26 Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury Rebounds (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alyssa Thomas is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 62.9% on tracked Alyssa Thomas picks. The latest model pick for Alyssa Thomas is Under 34.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury on Thursday 24 September at PHX Arena, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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