Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alyssa Thomas is Over 6.5 on Rebounds (Alt).
On Rebounds (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 69%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 6:35AM UTC
WNBA

Alyssa Thomas

WNBA

Value call

Alyssa Thomas has one live pick today: Rebounds (Alt) Over 6.5 that pays $144 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rebounds (Alt) Over 6.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
Value call
Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury
PHX Arena, Phoenix · Indoor
Tue 22 Sep, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,044 of 2,746 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
8.8 Rebounds (Alt)
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.3% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +8.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds (Alt)78.3%—69.4%1.28+8.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Rebounds (-227)

Odds available at fanatics at time of publishing

Phoenix Mercury play Dallas Wings in the WNBA on Tuesday 22 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alyssa Thomas Over 6.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. The game is at PHX Arena in Phoenix. Our model expects Alyssa Thomas to finish with about 8.8 rebounds. The line for this one is 6.5. Our number sits above that line. This is an alternate line, so the number is not the main one on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Alyssa Thomas's lines for Tue 22 Sep

Every market the books have posted for her, with the best price we can find, how often she has cleared the line lately, and her last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rebounds (Alt) 6.5
-125 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's rebounds (alt) line is 6.5, best over price -125 across 4 books. She has gone over it in 7 of her last 10 games.

Assists (Alt) 6.5
-128 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's assists (alt) line is 6.5, best over price -128 across 4 books. She has gone over it in 7 of her last 10 games.

Rebounds 7.5
-125 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's rebounds line is 7.5, best over price -125 across 4 books. She has gone over it in 7 of her last 10 games.

Rebounds (Alt) 8.5
-125 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's rebounds (alt) line is 8.5, best over price -125 across 4 books. She has gone over it in 7 of her last 10 games.

Pts+Reb+Ast 30.5
-115 best over price · 3 booksHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's pts+reb+ast line is 30.5, best over price -115 across 3 books.

Reb+Ast 15.5
-120 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 8 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's reb+ast line is 15.5, best over price -120 across 2 books. She has gone over it in 8 of her last 10 games.

Pts+Ast 22.5
-118 best over price · 2 booksHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's pts+ast line is 22.5, best over price -118 across 2 books.

Assists (Alt) 7.5
-128 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Alyssa Thomas average?

Alyssa Thomas's assists (alt) line is 7.5, best over price -128 across 4 books. She has gone over it in 7 of her last 10 games.

Quick answers:How many points does Alyssa Thomas average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings Rebounds 8.5 Over +110 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings Rebounds (Alt) 8.5 Over +120 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire Assists 9.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings Points — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings Assists — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings Pts+Reb — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Alyssa Thomas is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alyssa Thomas is Over 6.5 on Rebounds (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury on Tuesday 22 September at PHX Arena, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.