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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alyssa Thomas is Under 32.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 66%, implied 54%, edge +11.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:43PM UTC
WNBA

Alyssa Thomas

WNBA

+11.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb+Ast Under 32.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
+11.8% Edge
Toronto Tempo @ Phoenix Mercury
PHX Arena, Phoenix · Indoor
Sun 30 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 946 of 1,282 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
66 in 100
Predicted
30.1 Pts+Reb+Ast
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 65.6% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +11.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Reb+Ast65.6%—53.8%2.01+11.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Alyssa Thomas Under 32.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists Combined (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Phoenix Mercury play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA on Sunday 30 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alyssa Thomas Under 32.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists Combined. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.60 if it lands. The game is at PHX Arena in Phoenix. Our model expects Alyssa Thomas to finish with about 30.1 points, rebounds and assists combined. The line for this one is 32.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many points does Alyssa Thomas average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Assists 7.5 Over -109 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Assists (Alt) 6.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Assists (Alt) 7.5 Over -109 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Pts+Ast — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Pts+Reb — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Pts+Reb — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alyssa Thomas is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alyssa Thomas is Under 32.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Tempo vs Phoenix Mercury on Sunday 30 August at PHX Arena, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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