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Model picks & player props
Portland Fire
VS
Las Vegas Aces

Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 15, 7:19AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Indoor
Wed 29 Jul 2026, 2:05AM
12
Game markets graded
48
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Portland Fire 26.5 (Alt Spread)
The model graded 60 markets for Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $125 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 97.0%, fair odds 1.33, book price -400, model edge +17.0%. Tip-off Wed 29 Jul 2026, 2:05AM at Michelob Ultra Arena.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Portland Fire 26.5 · $100 returned $125

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 482 of 629 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 14
Los Angeles Sparks 7
Los Angeles Sparks @ New York Liberty
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $220
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Portland Fire
+28.5
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UndertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UndertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UndertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UndertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UndertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UndertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Portland Fire

  • Luisa Geiselsoder COut
  • Sarah Ashlee Barker GOut
  • Sania Feagin FOut

Las Vegas Aces

  • Justine Pissott GDay-to-day
  • Dana Evans GOut
  • Kierstan Bell FOut
  • Cheyenne Parker-Tyus FOut
Availability updated Aug 15, 12:16AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Carla Leite player_points_alternate
Carla Leite player_points_rebounds_alternate
Carla Leite player_points_rebounds_assists_alternate
Carla Leite player_assists_alternate
Carla Leite player_threes

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Portland Fire @ Las Vegas Aces — what the model found

Our model graded 60 betting markets for Portland Fire at Las Vegas Aces — 12 on the game itself and 48 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded
48
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 60 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 59 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces — recent results

Las Vegas Aces have won 3 of their last 5 games; Portland Fire have won 3 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Aces — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W83–76WSHHome
W86–76WSHHome
L71–111NYAway
L87–98MINAway
W86–84INDAway
Portland Fire — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W84–82SEAAway
L81–85MINHome
W100–93SEAHome
W97–83TORHome
L101–106LAHome

Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Las Vegas Aces won 3, Portland Fire won 0.

DateLas Vegas AcesPortland FireWinner
Jul 299883Las Vegas Aces
Jul 108880Las Vegas Aces
Jun 1210589Las Vegas Aces

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Aces
PlayerStatus
Justine Pissott GDAY-TO-DAY
Dana Evans GOUT
Kierstan Bell FOUT
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus FOUT
Portland Fire
PlayerStatus
Luisa Geiselsoder COUT
Sarah Ashlee Barker GOUT
Sania Feagin FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Portland Fire @ Las Vegas Aces — model preview

Model-built preview and betting picks for Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces: our probability on every market, the value read, and where the edge sits.

The model's read: Under totals at 1.91 — we make it a 63% chance (+0.1% edge on the price).

Player angles the model likes:

  • Jackie Young Under 17.5 points at 1.81 — 83% by our numbers
  • Jackie Young Under 28.5 points rebounds assists at 1.83 — 82% by our numbers
  • A'ja Wilson Under 3.5 assists at 1.63 — 76% by our numbers

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +26.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +27.5 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +28.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Fire vs Aces, or as Aces vs Fire. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 29 July 2026 at Michelob Ultra Arena. The model has generated 12 game picks and 48 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Las Vegas Aces 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Jul 2026Portland Fire @ Las Vegas Aces98–83Las Vegas Aces
10 Jul 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Portland Fire80–88Las Vegas Aces
12 Jun 2026Las Vegas Aces @ Portland Fire89–105Las Vegas Aces
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