When it comes to Ace Bailey, the sharp money is leaning toward the Under on threes made, particularly at home against a formidable opponent like the Philadelphia 76ers. Bailey has been lights out this season, but let's not overlook his recent home court performance-he's only hit more than two threes in a staggering 9 of his last 18 games at home. The Jazz's offensive scheme often sees him sharing the floor with other sharpshooters, which can dilute his opportunities.Moreover, Bailey's recent hit rate of 14 out of the last 20 games may seem impressive, yet it's crucial to highlight the context. Facing a tough 76ers defense that excels at closing out on shooters, he's likely to find himself contested more than usual. With an expected stat value of just 2.13 and an implied probability of 48.5%, the Under 2.5 feels like a smart play in this matchup.
John Konchar (Utah Jazz) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-127)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs the Utah Jazz prepare to face the Philadelphia 76ers, John Konchar stands out as a prime candidate for hitting the over on 7.5 points and rebounds. Playing at home, he's been finding his rhythm, averaging 4.2 points and 5.2 rebounds in his last five home games, which puts him right on the verge of our target. Against the 76ers, his home stats improve significantly, showing an average of 9.5 points and 5.5 rebounds. With the Jazz looking to capitalize on their home court advantage, Konchar's energy and hustle could be pivotal. His recent track record is promising, having hit this mark in four of his last five home outings. With a solid 55.9% implied probability, I'm confident that Konchar will rise to the occasion and contribute above that 7.5 threshold. Don't miss this opportunity to back him!
Dominick Barlow (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-233)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to face the Utah Jazz, all eyes will be on Dominick Barlow's rebounding numbers. Considering his recent performances, targeting the under on his rebounds at 6.5 seems like a wise move. Over his last five games, Barlow has averaged just 6.4 rebounds, but when you dig deeper, his away games tell a different story-he's only managing 4.6 boards on the road.Against the Jazz, he's averaged a mere 3.3 rebounds in their last five encounters, and even worse, just 2 rebounds when playing in Utah. This trend is particularly concerning given that the Jazz play strong defense in the paint. With a solid hit rate of 16 out of his last 20 games overall, and a staggering 15 of 20 away, it's looking increasingly likely that Barlow will fall short of that 6.5 mark. Bet the under and ride the numbers!
Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-345)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingLooking ahead to Sunday's face-off between the Utah Jazz and the Philadelphia 76ers, Ace Bailey is a key player to zero in on for the rebounds prop. With a line set at 6.5, it's tough to overlook the trend in his recent performances. Bailey has only managed to surpass this total in one of the last eight games, showcasing a hit rate that suggests an underlying struggle on the boards. At home, where he's typically more comfortable, he's still only hit the over 80% of the time in his last 20 games-impressive but not enough to shy away from the under here. The Jazz's pace of play coupled with the 76ers' physicality inside makes for a potential rebounding logjam, and with an expected stat value of just 3.63, it's clear that Bailey could find himself well short of that line. This matchup screams value on the under for his rebounds.