Here are our NFL picks for Saturday 14 November 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 132.5 Rush + Rec Yards, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 132.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-115)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 132.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Isaac TeSlaa (DET) Over 1.5 Receptions (+124)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaac TeSlaa (DET) Over 1.5 Receptions. It was priced at +124 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Drake Maye (NE) Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Drake Maye (NE) Under 27.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Isaac TeSlaa (DET) Over 1.5 Receptions (+121)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaac TeSlaa (DET) Over 1.5 Receptions. It was priced at +121 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 4.5 Receptions (-139)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at -139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 129.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 129.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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