Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Picks, November 9, 2026

The Buffalo Bills have shown they can throw the ball effectively, making them a strong contender in this matchup. Their quarterback faced extra pressure on a lot of plays, but he still managed to get good results from passing. The Bills have a better record against the spread on grass compared to the Vikings, which adds to their confidence going into this game. The Vikings have also been solid, especially at home, but the teams are pretty evenly matched overall. One key risk is that both teams struggle a bit when it comes to defending against extra rushers. Still, the Bills' passing game gives them a solid chance to win.

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: Over 20.5 Team Total Points (-111)

For the Vikings to go over 20.5 points tonight, their passing game needs to shine. Minnesota has been better at throwing the ball than running it, which gives them a solid chance to find the end zone. Their quarterback has faced extra rushers a good amount, but they've still managed to score effectively through the air. The Bills also have a strong offense that can put up points, which means the game could be high-scoring. The matchup is close, and there's a chance the Vikings might struggle against Buffalo's defense, but their recent performance on grass is promising. Expect a competitive game where both teams push to score.

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: Ben Yurosek Over 2.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-110)

This bet is offering good value on Ben Yurosek to get over 2.5 receiving yards. The Minnesota Vikings quarterback has been throwing more than running, which is a good sign for Yurosek's chances to catch a few passes. Last season, he was part of the team's downfield plays, even if not a main target, and with the quarterback facing pressure from extra rushers, quick passes can become key. The risk here is that Yurosek only had a small share of the team's targets last season, so it might be tough for him to get enough chances. However, with the Vikings focusing more on their passing game, this could turn in his favor. Overall, our numbers see a solid chance for him to go over that 2.5 mark.

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: Dalton Kincaid Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Dalton Kincaid had a strong season in 2026, catching passes for an impressive average of almost 15 yards each time. He's a key target for the Buffalo Bills, making him a good pick to rack up receiving yards. The Vikings' defense has been known to give up big plays, so Kincaid could find opportunities to shine. While both teams have their strengths, Kincaid could be a standout. The risk is that the Vikings may pressure the Bills' quarterback, which could affect how many times Kincaid gets the ball. Still, the numbers suggest he has a good chance to go over 37.5 receiving yards in this matchup.

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: Dalton Kincaid Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-111)

Dalton Kincaid had a great season last year, making almost 15 yards per catch and being a key target for the Bills. He's been involved in deep passes, which shows he can make big plays. With the Vikings often focusing on their passing game, Kincaid should find opportunities to rack up yards against a defense that may struggle to keep up. The numbers suggest he has a good chance to go over 37.5 receiving yards. However, both teams' quarterbacks faced extra rushers quite a bit last season, which could affect how well Kincaid is able to perform. Still, with his recent form, he's likely to take advantage of any openings he finds.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.