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Model picks & player props
Fiorentina
VS
Genoa

Fiorentina vs Genoa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 22, 7:20PM UTC

Our model graded 19 markets for Fiorentina vs Genoa and backs Fiorentina hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $200.

Soccer
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Outdoor
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 1:00PM
19
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Fiorentina Draw No Bet +100

The model graded 19 markets for Fiorentina vs Genoa (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 1:00PM at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.5%
The price says50.0%
Best price+100
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Fiorentina High67% chance +100
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean60% chance Members
Spread Members only High94% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only Lean40% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High73% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Fiorentina are the model's favourite to beat Genoa, with a 67% chance to win. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 1:00PM at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Best bet: Fiorentina at +100.
How they've been scoring this season
FiorentinaGenoa
Won-lost1-3-10-4-1
Goals scored per game1.20.6
Goals allowed per game2.42.0
On the road / at home1-1-0 away0-2-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLLLWDLLLDL
Their games average 3.1 total goals this season.
From the 5 Fiorentina and 5 Genoa games on our books this season.
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Fiorentina
+100
+ 18 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
FiorentinaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line

Best price right now

Unibet Nl
on Fiorentina
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Fiorentina

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Genoa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fiorentina vs Genoa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineFiorentina @ GenoaNo line posted
0-3-5past meetings (last 8)
Draw25%Home form6-6-8Away form8-4-8
past meetings, home wins0 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Genoa have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 5.

Both Teams to ScoreFiorentina @ GenoaNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, both scored
Genoa50%Fiorentina55%Free board24-13
past meetings, both scored6 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Genoa's and 55% of Fiorentina's recent matches.

Total GoalsFiorentina @ GenoaUnder +1.5 +240
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.535%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg3.0
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.0 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them; the model prices Under at 30% here.

Fiorentina @ Genoa — what the model found

Our model graded 19 betting markets for Fiorentina at Genoa — 19 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

19
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 19 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 18 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
09 Nov 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fiorentina vs Genoa in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Saturday 10 October 2026 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The model has generated 19 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Even at 0–0 across the last meeting · 1 draw
DateGameScoreWinner
10 May 2026Genoa @ Fiorentina0–0Draw
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