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Soccer

Aston Villa

Next game: Aston Villa play at Newcastle United on Saturday 17 October. 7 of Aston Villa's last 10 league games had over 2.5 goals. See the game preview

Won-drawn-lost1-1-3
At home0-0-2
Goals a game0.80
Last 5LLDLW
Next Game: vs Newcastle United (Away) Sat 17 Oct, 5:30 PM UK time St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne · Outdoor Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Aston Villa at Newcastle United
Aston Villa
with a 3.5-goal head start
Aston Villa +3.5 Spread
HIGH
Our numbers say this wins about 94 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $102 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$10.20 Odds-5000
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 94% chance to land.

+4.9%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Model updated Oct 11, 5:52AM UTC
Answer
The Aston Villa model is leaning Aston Villa on the spread in the Spread market vs Newcastle United.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Draw No BetWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Both Teams to ScoreWith Pro
Total GoalsWith Pro
Draw No BetWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total GoalsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Head to Head (3-Way)With Pro
MoneylineWith Pro

The model has graded 14 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Newcastle United about 5 in 10 to win.

All Soccer odds this week →

Aston Villa fixtures and results, 2026-27

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultOver 2.5 goalsBoth teams scoredGame
Sun 23 Augat Brighton and Hove AlbionL 0-4YesNo–
Mon 31 Augvs ArsenalL 0-1NoNoGame page
Sat 5 Sepat Hull CityD 0-0NoNo–
Sat 12 Sepvs Nottingham ForestL 1-2YesYesGame page
Sat 19 Sepat Tottenham HotspurW 3-2YesYesGame page
Sat 17 Octat Newcastle UnitedUpcoming · 5:30 PM UK time––Preview

Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often Aston Villa games have goals

Team history

In 2025-26, 20 of Aston Villa's 38 league games had over 2.5 goals (11 of 19 at home), and both teams scored in 22. So far in 2026-27: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.

SeasonOver 2.5 goals at homeOver 2.5 goals awayOver 2.5 goals, allBoth teams scoredResults
2026-27 (so far)1 of 22 of 33 of 52 of 51 won, 1 drew, 3 lost
2025-2611 of 199 of 1920 of 3822 of 3819 won, 8 drew, 11 lost
2024-2511 of 1913 of 1924 of 3823 of 3819 won, 9 drew, 10 lost
2023-2415 of 1912 of 1927 of 3825 of 3820 won, 8 drew, 10 lost
2022-2311 of 197 of 1918 of 3819 of 3818 won, 7 drew, 13 lost
2021-2211 of 1911 of 1922 of 3820 of 3813 won, 6 drew, 19 lost
2020-2112 of 1910 of 1922 of 3819 of 3816 won, 7 drew, 15 lost
2019-2011 of 1911 of 1922 of 3822 of 389 won, 8 drew, 21 lost
What do these numbers mean?

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the game. Both teams scored means each side scored at least once. Complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Aston Villa injuries

Updated 10 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Amadou OnanaMIDInjured––
Ian MaatsenDEFInjured––
Leon GoretzkaMIDInjured––
Brian MadjoFWDDoubtful––
George HemmingsMIDDoubtful––
Matteo RuggeriDEFDoubtful––

Betting angles

4 markets live
Moneylinevs Manchester City (H)+330
11-5-4W-D-L, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.6GA/g1.2
Last 10 results8 W / 10

Aston Villa have gone 11-5-4 over their last 20 matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 goals per game; Bet Better's model reads their win chance at 26% in this fixture.

Draw No Betvs Manchester City (H)+240
11-5-4W-D-L, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.6GA/g1.2

Aston Villa to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 34% for Aston Villa.

Both Teams to Scorevs Manchester City (H)-175
63%model both-score %
60%both teams scored, last 20 2024-25
GF/g1.6GA/g1.2
Both scored (last 10)5 / 10 both scored

Both teams have scored in 60% of Aston Villa's last 20 matches; our model makes both teams scoring 63% here.

Total Goalsvs Manchester City (H)Over +1.5 -588
84%model over %
65%over 2.5, last 20 2024-25
Avg goals2.8
Over 2.5 (last 10)7 / 10 over

Over 2.5 goals landed in 65% of Aston Villa's last 20 matches (avg 2.8 goals); the model prices Over at 84% here.

Latest match preview

Aston Villa's latest Bet Better match preview covers Aston Villa vs Manchester City, with model predictions and a same-game parlay breakdown.

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Key Insights: High-Value Opportunity

Aston Villa v Manchester City, 11 October 2026. Top of the list: Aston Villa Draw No Bet. Our model likes 2 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

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Questions about Aston Villa

When do Aston Villa play next?

Aston Villa play at Newcastle United on Saturday 17 October 2026.

How often do Aston Villa games have over 2.5 goals?

In 2025-26, 20 of Aston Villa's 38 league games had over 2.5 goals (11 of 19 at home). So far in 2026-27: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.

How often do both teams score in Aston Villa games?

In 2025-26, both teams scored in 22 of Aston Villa's 38 league games.

Who is injured for Aston Villa?

6 players are on the injury list as of 10 October: Amadou Onana, Ian Maatsen, Leon Goretzka, Brian Madjo, George Hemmings, and 1 more.

Where can I see Aston Villa's next game preview?

Bet Better's Newcastle United vs Aston Villa game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Aston Villa are tracked by the Bet Better model across Soccer games. Their next game is against Newcastle United on Saturday 17 October at St James' Park. Use the data above to inform your Soccer betting decisions for Aston Villa.

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