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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ezri Konsa is Over 1.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 22 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 22%, implied 9%, edge +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:20PM UTC
Soccer

Ezri Konsa

Aston Villa

+12.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 1.5 +1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
+12.9% Edge
Argentina @ England
Sat 18 Jul, 9:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 43 of 91 right
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
22 in 100
Predicted
0.6 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 22.0% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap +12.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots22.0%9.1%4.55+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Ezri Konsa (England) Over 1.5 Shots (+1000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As England gears up to face Argentina, all eyes will be on Ezri Konsa, whose role in the defensive setup could see him push forward more than usual. While his recent shot totals might not jump off the page, the World Cup stage often brings out the best in players. With England likely to dominate possession, Konsa could find himself with opportunities, especially as he looks to exploit any gaps in Argentina's defense. Historically, home games have seen him attempt an average of 0.4 shots, and the increased stakes of a World Cup clash could elevate that number. Plus, with England's attacking prowess, one can expect a barrage of attempts, giving Konsa a solid chance to notch at least two shots. The potential for him to exceed that 1.5 mark feels ripe, making this a compelling play in a high-stakes showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ezri Konsa — 2024 season

Ezri Konsa scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 5 Premier League appearances for Aston Villa in the 2024 season, from 0 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.0.

0
Goals
0
Assists
0.0
xG
0
Shots
0
On target
0
Key passes
5
Apps
450
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 England @ France Shots on Target 0.5 Over +600 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 England @ France Shots Pending

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About This Player

Ezri Konsa (Aston Villa) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ezri Konsa is Over 1.5 on Shots. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Argentina vs England on Saturday 18 July. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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