On Saturday 3 October 2026, Manchester United play Tottenham Hotspur in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 4.5 Total Goals, priced at -385 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-385)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing As Manchester United prepares to host Tottenham, the trend points decidedly towards a low-scoring affair. Despite United's home ground advantage, their recent performances have seen them averaging just 1.6 goals per game while conceding the same. Their last five matches at Old Trafford have registered 2.6 goals on average, yet they’ve struggled to find the net consistently. Tottenham, on the other hand, is in a dire goal-scoring slump, averaging a mere 0.4 goals in their last five outings. With only a slight uptick when playing away, they’re failing to capitalize on opportunities, managing around 0.8 goals. Given both teams' lack of offensive firepower and their defensive setups, a bet on under 4.5 total goals seems prudent. It’s a safe wager with the stats firmly backing a game that could likely finish 2-1 or even less.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur +0.75 Goal Handicap (-115)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing As Manchester United faces Tottenham Hotspur this Saturday, the stage is set for an intriguing clash at Old Trafford. United's recent home form has been shaky, with just one win in their last five, while they’ve struggled to convert chances, averaging only 1.6 goals per game in that stretch. On the flip side, Spurs might be struggling away, but their competitive spirit is evident in their past encounters with United, boasting a decent 2-2-1 record. Tottenham’s recent struggles have led to low scoring, but they have the potential to turn it around. With the handicap line at 0.75, backing Spurs seems prudent. They’ve shown resilience against top opponents, and given United’s defensive vulnerabilities, it’s plausible that Tottenham can either win or keep it close. Expect a gritty performance from Spurs as they seek to capitalize on United’s current frailties.
That is how our model reads Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.