Full preview: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction, odds and every market
On Monday 2 November 2026, Sassuolo play Fiorentina in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 3.5 Total Goals, priced at -169 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Sassuolo prepares to host Fiorentina, the recent scoring trends tell a compelling story. Both sides have struggled offensively, averaging just 1.2 goals in their last five outings. Sassuolo, in particular, has seen a dismal home scoring average of only 2 goals per game, while conceding 2.6. Their xG numbers reflect this inefficiency, with both teams creating minimal chances. Fiorentina, on the road, has been equally uninspired, netting a mere 1.6 goals while facing solid defensive pressure. With the home side's last five matches yielding just one win and the away team not faring much better, the stage seems set for a low-scoring affair. With the total set at 3.5, backing the under feels like a wise choice, considering both teams' recent scoring woes and the historical context of their matchups. Expect a tight contest, likely ending below the line.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Sassuolo -0.25 Goal Handicap (+145)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Sassuolo prepares to host Fiorentina on Monday, the home side is looking to turn their fortunes around after a shaky streak. With a recent home record of 2-1-2, Sassuolo has shown flashes of resilience, particularly in their last two home matches where they averaged a respectable 2 goals scored. Although they've faced tough opposition, their xG metrics suggest they've been creating chances, hinting at potential for improvement. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, managing just one draw in their last five away outings. Their xG and goal averages are also concerning, not consistently finding the back of the net.
That is how our model reads Sassuolo v Fiorentina. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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