Khaman Maluach (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, Khaman Maluach's rebounding numbers tell an intriguing story. At home, he's been solid overall, averaging 5.2 boards in his last five games. However, when it comes to the Nuggets specifically, he's struggled-averaging just 0 rebounds in their last matchup at home. With the Suns' offensive strategy likely focusing on perimeter play against Denver's stout defense, it might limit Maluach's opportunities on the glass.His recent trend also weighs in favor of the under; he's hit this mark in just 3 out of his last 12 games against tougher competition. With an expected value of only 2.85 rebounds and an impressive hit rate of 16 out of 20 at home for staying under this line, this is a spot where backing the under on Maluach feels like a smart play. The data suggests he may not have the chance to hit that 4.5 mark

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nuggets head to Phoenix, the spotlight shines on Nikola Jokic, but this matchup could tilt in favor of the under for his assists. Though he's been a playmaking wizard, averaging a solid 12 assists over his last five games, the Suns present a unique challenge. On the road, Jokic's numbers dip slightly, with an average of 10.6 assists, and against Phoenix, he's logged just 9.8 assists in their recent encounters away from Denver. With the Suns' defensive scheme likely aimed at limiting his playmaking ability, we might see Jokic focus more on scoring rather than facilitating. His recent form also shows a hit rate of just 57% on the road in the last 14 games, suggesting that exceeding the 10.5 mark may be tough against a stingy Phoenix defense. This is why betting on the under feels like a smart play in this intriguing matchup.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Grayson Allen is primed for a standout performance as the Phoenix Suns host the Denver Nuggets. At home, he's been a different beast, averaging an impressive 20.4 points and 3 rebounds over his last five games. These aren't just numbers; they reflect his growing confidence and comfort in front of the home crowd. Against the Nuggets, he's historically found his rhythm, tallying about 15.8 points per game, with a noticeable bump to 10.2 when playing at home. Recent trends are also in his favor-he's hit the Over 16.5 points plus rebounds in 16 of his last 19 games, including an astounding 11 of his last 12 at home. With the Suns needing a spark to outpace the Nuggets, expect Allen to rise to the occasion and surpass that 16.5 mark, making this a tantalizing bet to consider.

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