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NBA

Rasheer Fleming

Phoenix Suns

+14.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 3.5 +128 (2.28)
+14.7% Edge
Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Wed 25 Mar, 3:00AM
Model Probability
58.6%
Implied Probability
43.9%
Model Edge
+14.7%
Predicted Value
3.0 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) Under 3.5 Rebounds (+128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns host the Denver Nuggets, all eyes are on Rasheer Fleming, particularly in the rebounding department. Despite averaging 3.6 rebounds in his last five games, his home stats against Denver tell a different story-he's consistently struggled, averaging just 0 rebounds in their past encounters at home. With the Nuggets' size and defensive prowess, Fleming's chances of hitting the over seem slim. In fact, he's only cleared the 3.5 mark in 17 out of his last 20 home games, and he's done so against teams with less imposing interiors. The numbers suggest a strong trend; his expected value sits around 2.97, aligning perfectly with a bet on the under. Given the circumstances, targeting the under on Fleming's rebounding total feels like a savvy play for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 3.5 Under +128 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 4.5 Under -185 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 5.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs Pending
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Points Pending

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About This Player

Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 85.7% (6/7). The latest model pick for Rasheer Fleming is Under 3.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.7% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns on Wednesday 25 March at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.