Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nuggets prepare to face the Suns, targeting Nikola Jokic for under 23.5 combined rebounds and assists makes sense. While Jokic is a versatile powerhouse, recent trends suggest a slowdown in his production, especially on the road. In his last five games away from Denver, he's averaged 15.2 rebounds and 10.6 assists, totaling around 25.8-yet, against Phoenix, his numbers dip. Historically, he's averaged just 10 rebounds and 9.8 assists in away matchups against the Suns, which brings his expected output down to about 21.19. The Suns' defense, known for its intensity, can disrupt even the best players, and Jokic has hit the under in 12 of his last 20 away games. With the stakes high, it's worth betting that Jokic's totals will fall short in this pivotal matchup.

Khaman Maluach (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns prepare to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Khaman Maluach's rebounding performance, particularly if you're considering betting the under on his 4.5 boards. Despite a commendable home hit rate of 16 out of 20 games, recent trends suggest he may struggle tonight. Maluach has averaged just 3.8 rebounds across his last five outings and has managed only a single rebound against the Nuggets in their previous matchups-zero when playing at home. With the Suns hosting, the crowd energy can inspire players, but Maluach's numbers paint a different picture. The expected stat value of 2.85 and a solid hit rate of 9 out of 12 in the last dozen games reinforces the narrative that he might fall short of 4.5 rebounds. Given these layers of data, it's a wise move to back the under and ride the trends working against Maluach tonight.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, Grayson Allen presents an intriguing value play for the Over on his combined points and rebounds line of 16.5. Playing at home has been a significant boost for Allen, where he's averaged a robust 20.4 points and 3 rebounds over his last five outings. Historically, he's been a thorn in the side of the Nuggets too, averaging 15.8 points when facing them, and even better at home with a solid 10.2. Digging deeper, his recent form is hard to ignore-he's hit the Over in 16 of his last 19 games, including an impressive 11 of his last 12 at home. With an expected stat value nudging up to 19.76, it's clear that the odds are in his favor to surpass that 16.5 mark. If you're looking for a savvy play in this matchup, Grayson Allen is your guy.

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