Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming showdown between the Denver Nuggets and the Phoenix Suns, targeting Nikola Jokic for under 23.5 combined rebounds and assists could be a savvy move. While Jokic has dazzled with his recent numbers, averaging a hefty 23.8 combined rebounds and assists on the road, the Suns present a unique challenge. Historically, Jokic has managed just 10 rebounds and 9.8 assists against Phoenix in away games, which gives us a clear indication that their defensive strategy can stifle his production.Moreover, in his last 20 games on the road, he's only exceeded this line 60% of the time, and he's hitting the under in three of his last four. Given the Suns' ability to limit his effectiveness, it's wise to lean into this trend and consider the under as we anticipate a tightly contested game that may keep Jokic's numbers in check.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Nikola Jokic rolls into Phoenix, the stage is set for an intriguing clash, but betting on him to go under 10.5 assists feels like the savvy play. While he's been a dazzling distributor, averaging 12 assists overall in his last five games, his performance dips when he's away. On the road, he's managing just 10.6 assists, and when facing the Suns, his numbers drop further to around 9.8. Moreover, Jokic has only hit the over in 8 of his last 14 away games. The Suns are known for their physical play, often stifling high-assist games from opposing stars. Given that his expected stat value is just 9.5, this matchup could lead him to focus more on scoring than playmaking. With the odds suggesting a 49% implied probability, it seems prudent to expect Jokic to fall short of that 10.5 mark tonight.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns host the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Grayson Allen to surpass the 16.5 points and rebounds mark. Allen has been dynamite at home, averaging an impressive 20.4 points and 3 rebounds in his last five games at Footprint Center. Notably, he's hit the Over in 11 of his last 12 home contests, showcasing an undeniable comfort level on his court.Going against a Denver squad that has historically struggled to contain him, Allen has averaged 15.8 points in their last five matchups. When you factor in his increased output at home, he's poised for a strong performance. With an expected stat value nudging close to 20, betting on Allen to exceed 16.5 feels like a smart play. His recent form and home advantage create a compelling case for this prop bet, setting the stage for a thrilling night of basketball.

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