Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Grayson Allen is primed for a breakout performance against the Denver Nuggets, especially with the game being at home in Phoenix. He's been lighting it up lately, averaging over 20 points per game on his home floor, which is a stark contrast to his overall average of 14.6. The Nuggets have struggled defensively, allowing players like Allen to exploit matchups, and his history against them shows he can put up solid numbers, averaging nearly 16 points in their last five meetings. What's particularly promising is his rebounding game at home, where he's snatched up about five boards against Denver. With a hit rate of 16 out of his last 19 games and an impressive 11 out of 12 at home, it's clear Allen thrives in this setting. Expect him to easily surpass the 16.5 mark in points and rebounds combined, making this a value pick worth jumping on.

Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) Under 3.5 Rebounds (+128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, keep a close eye on Rasheer Fleming's rebound numbers. With a line set at 3.5, betting the under feels like a smart play. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 3.6 rebounds, slightly above that line, but the deeper look tells a more compelling story. At home, he's only managed an average of 3.8, and when facing the Nuggets, he's struggled to find the glass, pulling in just one rebound per game in their last matchups. Even more telling is that at home against Denver, he hasn't grabbed a single board in their last encounter. Given his recent form-hitting the under in 17 of his last 20 home games-the under is not just a number; it's a trend that's hard to ignore. Fleming's rebounding could very well fall short once again.

Khaman Maluach (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Khaman Maluach's rebounding numbers, particularly his line set at 4.5. Now, while he's been solid in some spots with an average of 5.2 boards at home, the matchup against Denver could spell trouble. Over his last five games against the Nuggets, he's averaged just one rebound, and at home, he hasn't even hit the board against them. Despite his recent form with a solid hit rate of 75% overall, the trends show a concerning drop against this specific opponent. In fact, in the last 20 games at home, he's cleared this line just 80% of the time. With the Suns' offensive style and the presence of other bigs on the court, it's reasonable to expect Maluach to stay under that total tonight. Let's take advantage of this strong edge and go with the under.

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