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Model picks & player props
San Jose Sharks
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Wed 21 Jan 2026, 12:00AM
2
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: San Jose Sharks 1.5 (Puck Line)
For San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL), model win probability 69.3%, fair odds 1.44, book price -105, model edge +18.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 21 Jan 2026, 12:00AM at Benchmark International Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Puck Line
San Jose Sharks
1.5
-105
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
San Jose SharksPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

San Jose Sharks

  • Ryan Reaves RWOut
  • Logan Couture COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Ryan Reaves, Logan Couture and Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
William Eklund San Jose Sharks Shots on Goal 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineSan Jose Sharks +1.5No line posted

San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 21 January 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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