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Model picks & player props
San Jose Sharks
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 5:32PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Wed 21 Jan 2026, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
San Jose Sharks 1.5 Spread -105

The model graded 3 markets for San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 21 Jan 2026, 12:00AM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.3%
The price says51.3%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread San Jose Sharks 1.5 High69% chance -105
Total Goals High99% chance —
Shots on Goal × 1 prop Highup to 80% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
San Jose Sharks
+1.5
-105
+ 1 more market
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All 2 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Jose SharksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Jose Sharks

  • Ryan Reaves RWOut
  • Logan Couture COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Ryan Reaves, Logan Couture and Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
William Eklund San Jose Sharks Shots on Goal

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineSan Jose Sharks +1.5No line posted

San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning — 2 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; San Jose Sharks have won 2 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
San Jose Sharks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–1WPGAway
L2–5CHIAway
W3–2NSHAway
L3–4VANHome
L1–6ANAAway

San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 2, San Jose Sharks won 0.

DateTampa Bay LightningSan Jose SharksWinner
Jan 2141Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 373Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
San Jose Sharks
PlayerStatus
Ryan Reaves RWOUT
Logan Couture COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Sharks vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Sharks. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 21 January 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jan 2026San Jose Sharks @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–1Tampa Bay Lightning
3 Jan 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ San Jose Sharks3–7Tampa Bay Lightning
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