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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Smith is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 69%, implied 67%, edge +2.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:38PM UTC
NHL

Will Smith

San Jose Sharks

+2.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 -204 (1.49) · $100→$149
+2.1% Edge
San Jose Sharks @ Edmonton Oilers
Rogers Place, Edmonton, FUT · Indoor
Wed 18 Mar, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
2.7 Shots on Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.2% · the book's price implies 67.1% · gap +2.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal69.2%67.1%1.44+2.1%

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AI Analysis

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Will Smith (San Jose Sharks) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-204)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Will Smith to go over 1.5 shots on goal in the upcoming rink battle between the San Jose Sharks and Edmonton Oilers feels like a good call. This sharpshooter has been consistent lately, with his last three games seeing him land every shot he took. Talk about keeping the goalie on his toes! He's been equally proficient when playing away - his current hit streak there stands at two. He's also been getting the puck on net more frequently in recent games, with an average of 2.6 shots in his last five outings, both overall and on the road. Add in the fact that Smith has beaten this 1.5 shots line in six of his last seven away games, and it's clear why he's the player to watch. Look for Smith to keep the goalies guessing and exceed the 1.5 shots mark once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Will Smith has 3 goals and 5 assists (8 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
16 Apr 26@ WPG1125013:38
15 Apr 26@ CHI0000016:59
13 Apr 26@ NSH0112016:28
11 Apr 26vs VAN0004222:26
9 Apr 26@ ANA0000116:58
8 Apr 26vs EDM0111118:40
6 Apr 26vs CHI1012017:47
4 Apr 26vs NSH0003018:52
2 Apr 26vs TOR0001016:43
1 Apr 26vs ANA1232018:31
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Will Smith (San Jose Sharks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Smith is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is San Jose Sharks vs Edmonton Oilers on Wednesday 18 March at Rogers Place, Edmonton. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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