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Model picks & player props
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:39PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Sun 30 Nov 2025, 12:00AM
1
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline -114

For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL), this is the model’s pick — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $188 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 30 Nov 2025, 12:00AM at PPG Paints Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win63.0%
The price says53.2%
Best price-114

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs
-114
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Zack MacEwen COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Calle Jarnkrok COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut

Pittsburgh Penguins

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated Jul 1, 10:34PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Toronto Maple LeafsNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs -1.5No line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 1 betting market for Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins — 1 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 1 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 0 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–1PHIAway
W3–2PHIHome
W4–2PHIAway
L2–5PHIAway
L0–3PHIHome
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3OTTAway
L5–6DALHome
L2–6FLAHome
L3–5NYIAway
L0–4WSHHome

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Zack MacEwen COUT
Max Domi COUT
Calle Jarnkrok COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 30 November 2025 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 1 game pick for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

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