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Model picks & player props
Carolina Hurricanes
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 10:29PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Amalie Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Wed 28 Sep 2022, 11:00PM
6
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Carolina Hurricanes Moneyline +114

The model graded 7 markets for Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $214 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 28 Sep 2022, 11:00PM at Amalie Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.7%
The price says46.7%
Best price+114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Carolina Hurricanes High67% chance +114
Spread High72% chance —
Total Goals High99% chance —
Puck Lines High99% chance —
Saves × 1 prop Leanup to 54% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Carolina Hurricanes
+114
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Carolina HurricanesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Carolina HurricanesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Carolina HurricanesPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Carolina Hurricanes

  • Eric Robinson LWOut
  • Seth Jarvis COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated Jun 27, 3:25AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Eric Robinson, Seth Jarvis and Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Andrei Vasilevskiy Tampa Bay Lightning Saves

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Carolina HurricanesNo line posted

Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineCarolina Hurricanes +1.5No line posted

Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning — 6 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Carolina Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Carolina Hurricanes — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–0VGKAway
W4–2VGKHome
W5–3VGKAway
L4–5VGKAway
W4–3VGKHome

Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 0, Carolina Hurricanes won 2.

DateTampa Bay LightningCarolina HurricanesWinner
Mar 1424Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 2745Carolina Hurricanes

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Carolina Hurricanes
PlayerStatus
Eric Robinson LWOUT
Seth Jarvis COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Tampa Bay Lightning playing Carolina Hurricanes. Includes analysis on key players like Andrei Vasilevskiy. Analysis includes NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes stats and odds.

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) Under 26.5 Saves (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Tampa Bay Lightning host the Carolina Hurricanes, it's Andrei Vasilevskiy who's under our microscope tonight. This season, while playing on home ice, Vasilevskiy has been averaging 25 saves, slipping just under the 26.5 line we're interested in. The Hurricanes, though aggressive, have been averaging 27 shots on goal in their recent games. That's not too far from Vasilevskiy's average 27.6 shots against. There's a pattern here, and it's telling us that the Hurricanes' game plan may not push Vasilevskiy over that 26.5 saves mark tonight. With a current home games hit streak of just one and a hit rate of 2 out of 3 in the last trio of games, it's likely that Vasilevskiy lands under the 26.5 saves. The Tampa Bay goalie is going to bring his A-game, but the numbers suggest the Hurricanes

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Hurricanes vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Hurricanes. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 28 September 2022 at Amalie Arena. The model has generated 6 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Carolina Hurricanes 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Mar 2026Carolina Hurricanes @ Tampa Bay Lightning2–4Carolina Hurricanes
27 Feb 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes5–4Carolina Hurricanes
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