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MLB
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Outdoor
Wed 10 Jun 2026, 1:10 PM ET
New York Yankees
VS
Cleveland Guardians

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians and backs New York Yankees -2 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $318.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Yankees
to win by more than 2 runs
New York Yankees -2 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$31.80Best price+218
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.9%
The price says31.4%

The model graded 20 markets for New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $318 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 10 Jun 2026, 1:10 PM ET at Progressive Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Yankees -2 Lean48% chance +218
Spread Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High60% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean44% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians last met on Wed 10 Jun 2026: New York Yankees won 8-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-2
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Cleveland Guardians

  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Andrew Walters RPOut

Probable pitcher

Gavin Williams SP
Availability updated Oct 11, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L51-4

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L51-4

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Cleveland Guardians total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
4.4runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L51-4

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — recent results

Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5.

Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–0CHWHome
W9–5CHWAway
W9–3CHWAway
L3–4CHWHome
L0–3CHWHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cleveland Guardians are scoring 2.8 runs per game (4-1) while New York Yankees are at 3.8 (3-2); Cleveland Guardians pitchers are allowing 1.6 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for New York Yankees.

2.8
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
3.8
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesCleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees
Runs / game2.83.8
Hits / game5.64.6
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.62.2
Batter K / game5.83.6
Earned runs allowed / game1.61.2
Pitching K / game3.25.4
Walks allowed / game2.61.0
L5 record4-13-2

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Cleveland Guardians won 2, New York Yankees won 4.

DateCleveland GuardiansNew York YankeesWinner
Jun 1048New York Yankees
Jun 923New York Yankees
Jun 857New York Yankees
Jun 412New York Yankees
Jun 354Cleveland Guardians
Jun 294Cleveland Guardians

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Andrew Walters RPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees stats and odds.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees Win (-101)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland, they bring a potent mix of power and precision that suggests they’re poised for victory. With a lineup that’s been clicking—averaging over five runs per game in their last ten outings—they’re proving difficult to contain. Meanwhile, the Guardians have struggled with consistency, particularly against right-handed pitchers, posting a subpar OPS that could falter against New York’s formidable rotation. On the mound, the Yankees’ starter has been a force, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could stifle Cleveland's offense. The Guardians, while resilient, often find themselves outmatched in these high-pressure matchups. With New York’s current form and Cleveland’s batting woes, taking the Yankees on the moneyline looks like a savvy move. It’s not just about the numbers; it’s about momentum, and the Yankees are riding a wave that suggests a win is in the cards.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Guardians, or as Guardians vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 10 June 2026 at Progressive Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians head-to-head record

Final scores · 28 meetings on record
New York Yankees 18–10 across the last 28 meetings · these games average 8.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 10 Jun 2026, New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians: the Yankees won 8-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians4–8New York Yankees
9 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians2–3New York Yankees
8 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians5–7New York Yankees
4 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees2–1New York Yankees
3 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees4–5Cleveland Guardians
2 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees4–9Cleveland Guardians
5 Jun 2025Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees4–0New York Yankees
4 Jun 2025Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees0–4Cleveland Guardians
3 Jun 2025Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees3–2New York Yankees
23 Apr 2025New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians1–5New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 28 meetings on file.

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