Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Shaw is Under 3.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 100%, versus the book's implied 97%, for a model edge of +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 9:25PM UTC
MLB

Matt Shaw

MLB

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 3.5 -3333 (1.03)
+2.9% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
OUT
Shaw is still feeling discomfort related to his left hand sprain and has yet to resume swinging a bat, Vinnie Duber of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
updated Jul 18, 4:13AM UTC · 7d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
100.0%
Implied Probability
97.1%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles100.0%97.1%+2.9%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Matt Shaw (NA) Under 3.5 Doubles (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Cubs, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Matt Shaw and his ability to find gaps in Philly’s sturdy defense. While Shaw has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performance paints a different picture when it comes to doubles. With the Phillies boasting stellar pitching and a defense that has limited extra-base hits, it’s no surprise that the odds favor him staying under 3.5 doubles tonight. Consider that the Cubs have struggled to find consistent offense, and Shaw’s own numbers reflect a tendency to lean more on singles than extra-base hits. With the Philadelphia pitcher's ability to control the game and minimize hard contact, expecting Shaw to break through for multiple doubles might be a stretch. Bet the under, as the combination of current form and the Phillies' defensive prowess suggests a quiet night for the young hitter.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Matt Shaw is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Shaw is Under 3.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks