SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Player Props hitting 78.6% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.6% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Player Props hitting 78.6% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.6% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season
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MLB

Matt Shaw

MLB

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 3.5 -3333 (1.03)
+2.9% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
100.0%
Implied Probability
97.1%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Matt Shaw (NA) Under 3.5 Doubles (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Cubs, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Matt Shaw and his ability to find gaps in Philly’s sturdy defense. While Shaw has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performance paints a different picture when it comes to doubles. With the Phillies boasting stellar pitching and a defense that has limited extra-base hits, it’s no surprise that the odds favor him staying under 3.5 doubles tonight. Consider that the Cubs have struggled to find consistent offense, and Shaw’s own numbers reflect a tendency to lean more on singles than extra-base hits. With the Philadelphia pitcher's ability to control the game and minimize hard contact, expecting Shaw to break through for multiple doubles might be a stretch. Bet the under, as the combination of current form and the Phillies' defensive prowess suggests a quiet night for the young hitter.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Matt Shaw is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Shaw is Under 3.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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