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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Paul Skenes is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 62%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 6.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 7.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 8.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 25, 1:45PM UTC
MLB

Paul Skenes

MLB

Value call

Paul Skenes has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 6.5 that pays $161 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 6.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
Value call
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 24 Sep, 4:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 110 of 185 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs STL @ PIT
updated Sep 24, 4:35PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
5.8 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.2% · before adjusting for past results 64.4% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap -11.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts64.4%50.2%62.1%1.74+2.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Paul Skenes Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-164)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Paul Skenes Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-164). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Paul Skenes has gone over 3.5 SO in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o3.520%
o4.520%
o5.510%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Outs 15.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Paul Skenes is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Paul Skenes is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday 24 September at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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