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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jorge Polanco is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +20.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 8:58AM UTC
MLB

Jorge Polanco

MIN

+20.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -120 (1.83)
+20.6% Edge
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Mon 20 Jul, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.3%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+20.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits75.3%54.6%1.33+20.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Jorge Polanco (MIN) Under 0.5 Hits (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets, the spotlight shines on Jorge Polanco and his ability to make contact at the plate. Lately, Polanco has struggled against right-handed pitching, which is crucial considering he’ll be facing the Brewers' ace who has been dominant at home. In his last few outings, Polanco has tallied just a handful of hits, and with Milwaukee’s solid defense and pitching prowess, it’s tough to envision him breaking through. The Brewers have limited opposing hitters effectively, allowing them to capitalize on their strengths. Given that Polanco is projected to have a mere 0.32 hits, taking the under on 0.5 seems like a smart move. With the odds playing into our favor and the evidence pointing to a continued slump, it's hard to see him getting on base this time around.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
2avg hits · L5
L2055%
O 0.560%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%

Jorge Polanco MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 2 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.5avg total bases · L5
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%

Jorge Polanco MLB total bases: averaging 2.5 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Jorge Polanco MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
3.5avg H+R+RBI · L5
Streak5L2070%
O 0.580%
O 1.540%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%

Jorge Polanco MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.5 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.5avg RBIs · L5
O 0.520%

Jorge Polanco MLB rbis: averaging 0.5 RBIs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
1avg runs · L5
Streak2
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Jorge Polanco MLB runs scored: averaging 1 runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
1.5avg singles · L5

Jorge Polanco MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.5 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.5avg doubles · L5

Jorge Polanco MLB doubles: averaging 0.5 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -120 ✗ MISS
10 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jorge Polanco (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jorge Polanco is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers on Monday 20 July at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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