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Cristian Javier

MLB

Value call

Cristian Javier has one live pick today: over 5.5 strikeouts that pays $335 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
37 in 100
Predicted
4.9 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 36.5% · before adjusting for past results 37.1% · the book's price implies 29.9% · gap +6.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Tue 22 Sep, 9:40 PM ET
Cristian Javier
over 5.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 5.5 +235 (3.35) · $100→$335
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 37 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$33.50 Odds+235
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cristian Javier is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 37 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 37%, the price says 30%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 3:22AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Astros placed Javier on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a Grade 2 groin strain, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
updated Oct 2, 9:40PM UTC · 22d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts37.1%36.5%29.9%2.74+7.3%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros: Cristian Javier Over 5.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+235)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

But the wind is blowing out toward the outfield, which might help with scoring. Javier has been solid, allowing about 3.6 runs per nine innings, which is better than the league average. Plus, the Mariners haven't been hitting all that well, making this a good matchup for Javier to rack up strikeouts. The biggest risk here is that T-Mobile Park tends to limit scoring, so he'll need to stay sharp against a team that can be tricky.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Hits Allowed 3.5 Over -141 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -137 ✓ HIT
22 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
22 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
22 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cristian Javier is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cristian Javier is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners on Tuesday 22 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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