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The latest Bet Better model pick for Carmen Mlodzinski is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 66%, implied 67%, edge +7.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 1.50 BBlanded 5 of the last 10
Over 4.50 Hlanded 4 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 3:11AM UTC
MLB

Carmen Mlodzinski

PIT

+7.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -204 (1.49) · $100→$149
+7.0% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Mon 17 Aug, 11:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.1% · the book's price implies 67.1% · gap +7.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks74.1%66.1%67.1%1.54+7.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play Detroit Tigers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-204). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Carmen Mlodzinski is averaging 5.4 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.4
Hits
0.2
HR
0.0
RBI
3.0
Runs
2.0
Walks
3.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Carmen Mlodzinski has gone over 1.5 SO in 67% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.567%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Carmen Mlodzinski is averaging 5.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.6 in home games, including his recent form against LAD.

5.4
Hits · Overall
3.6
Hits · Home
0.3
Hits · vs LAD
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Outs 12.5 Under -182 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending
17 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
12 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carmen Mlodzinski is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.0% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday 17 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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