Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carmen Mlodzinski is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +27.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:38PM UTC
MLB
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts
Under 3.5
-164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+27.3% Edge
New York Mets
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
62.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Pitcher - Strikeouts | 89.4% | — | 62.1% | 1.12 | +27.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
See the full 20-game form curve
Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-164)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-164). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Carmen Mlodzinski MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.530%
O 3.530%
O 4.520%
O 5.510%
O 6.510%
Carmen Mlodzinski MLB hits allowedseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Carmen Mlodzinski MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carmen Mlodzinski is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.3% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 7 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.