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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Brown is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 95%, implied 85%, edge +9.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
MLB

Ben Brown

CHC

+9.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+9.5% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 23 Jun, 11:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Wednesday that Brown (neck) suffered a setback during his live batting practice session Tuesday, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.
updated Aug 26, 6:13PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
95 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 95.0% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +9.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts95.0%85.5%1.05+9.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Ben Brown (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ben Brown for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a solid choice based on his consistent performance. His overall and away game averages for strikeouts are both 5.2, which is significantly higher than the line set at 2.5. This demonstrates his ability to consistently outperform the betting line. Brown's current hit streaks, both overall and away, further reinforce his strong performance. His average innings pitched, both overall and away, also support this bet as they indicate that he typically stays in the game long enough to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. The data suggests that Brown's performance is not heavily influenced by the game location, which is important as this game is an away game. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Brown to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Ben Brown is averaging 5.0 hits, 0.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
0.6
HR
0.0
RBI
2.4
Runs
2.6
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Ben Brown has gone over 2.5 SO in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.5100%
o3.580%
o4.580%
o5.540%
o6.510%
o7.510%
o8.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Ben Brown is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.6 in away games.

5.0
Hits · Overall
3.6
Hits · Away
0.6
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ben Brown (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Brown is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals on Monday 23 June at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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