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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Brown is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +9.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Ben Brown

CHC

+9.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -588 (1.17)
+9.5% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 23 Jun, 11:45PM
OUT
Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Friday that Brown (neck) has begun to increase his activity and has taken part in workouts with plyometric balls, MLB.com reports.
updated Jul 20, 5:30PM UTC
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Model Probability
95.0%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+9.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts95.0%85.5%1.05+9.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Ben Brown (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ben Brown for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a solid choice based on his consistent performance. His overall and away game averages for strikeouts are both 5.2, which is significantly higher than the line set at 2.5. This demonstrates his ability to consistently outperform the betting line. Brown's current hit streaks, both overall and away, further reinforce his strong performance. His average innings pitched, both overall and away, also support this bet as they indicate that he typically stays in the game long enough to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. The data suggests that Brown's performance is not heavily influenced by the game location, which is important as this game is an away game. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Brown to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak14L2090%
O 2.5100%
O 3.580%
O 4.580%
O 5.540%
O 6.510%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Ben Brown MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak7L2065%
O 2.570%
O 3.550%
O 4.540%
O 5.530%
O 6.510%

Ben Brown MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
L2075%
O 0.590%
O 1.560%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%

Ben Brown MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.2avg earned runs · L5

Ben Brown MLB earned runs: averaging 2.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
13avg outs · L5

Ben Brown MLB outs: averaging 13 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ben Brown (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Brown is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals on Monday 23 June at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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