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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bailey Falter is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 92%, implied 79%, edge +13.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 10:19PM UTC
MLB

Bailey Falter

PIT

+13.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -385 (1.26) · $100→$126
+13.1% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Wed 23 Jul, 4:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 92.4% · the book's price implies 79.4% · gap +13.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks92.4%79.4%1.08+13.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Bailey Falter (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Bailey Falter's recent performance data supports a bet on him allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, Falter's average walks allowed, both overall and at home, has consistently exceeded 0.5. His overall average sits at 1.4 walks, while his home average is even higher at 1.6 walks. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages indicate he is typically on the mound for a substantial portion of the game, increasing the likelihood of him giving up at least one walk. Although his current hit streak is zero, this statistic is less relevant for the walks allowed market. Therefore, based on Falter's recent and home performance, a bet on over 0.5 walks allowed is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Bailey Falter is averaging 4.8 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.8
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
3.4
Runs
1.4
Walks
4.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Bailey Falter has gone over 2.5 H in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.580%
o3.580%
o4.550%
o5.530%
o6.530%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Bailey Falter is averaging 4.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.6 in home games.

4.8
Hits · Overall
4.6
Hits · Home
0.8
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Home
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bailey Falter (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bailey Falter is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday 23 July at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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