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Bailey Falter

PIT

Value call

Bailey Falter has one live pick today: over 0.5 walks allowed that pays $126 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
92 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 92.4% · the book's price implies 79.4% · gap +13.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Wed 23 Jul, 12:35 PM ET
Bailey Falter
over 0.5 walks allowed
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -385 (1.26) · $100→$126
Value call
HIGHWins about 92 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.60 Odds-385
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bailey Falter is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 92%, the price says 79%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:33PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks92.4%—79.4%1.08+13.1%

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AI Analysis

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Bailey Falter (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Bailey Falter's recent performance data supports a bet on him allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, Falter's average walks allowed, both overall and at home, has consistently exceeded 0.5. His overall average sits at 1.4 walks, while his home average is even higher at 1.6 walks. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages indicate he is typically on the mound for a substantial portion of the game, increasing the likelihood of him giving up at least one walk. Although his current hit streak is zero, this statistic is less relevant for the walks allowed market. Therefore, based on Falter's recent and home performance, a bet on over 0.5 walks allowed is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Bailey Falter (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bailey Falter is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday 23 July at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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