Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Hedges is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +22.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 7:27AM UTC
MLB

Austin Hedges

CLE

+22.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -112 (1.89)
+22.4% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Fri 24 Jul, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.3%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+22.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits75.3%—52.9%1.33+22.4%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Austin Hedges (CLE) Under 0.5 Hits (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Tampa Bay Rays prepare to host the Cleveland Guardians, all eyes should be on Austin Hedges, particularly when it comes to his hitting prowess. Hedges has struggled significantly at the plate, with a batting average hovering around the Mendoza line this season. This matchup against a Rays pitching staff that has been dominant at home only compounds his challenges. Tampa's arms have held opposing batters to a meager .220 average, and with Hedges’ lack of consistent contact, expecting him to get a hit feels like betting against the odds. Add in the fact that Hedges has been in a deep slump lately, failing to record a hit in several games, and the under 0.5 hits line starts to look enticing. Given the Guardians' recent offensive struggles as well, it’s hard to envision Hedges breaking through against a team that thrives on keeping hitters in check.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs TBRU 0.5 -112+22.4% edge

Austin Hedges MLB hits vs TBR. Current line U 0.5 at -112 (+22.4% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak6L2050%
O 1.570%
O 2.540%
O 3.530%
O 4.520%

Austin Hedges MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Austin Hedges MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak7L2075%
O 0.590%
O 1.590%
O 2.580%
O 3.530%

Austin Hedges MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak3L2050%
O 0.570%
O 1.520%

Austin Hedges MLB rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak7L2070%
O 0.590%
O 1.540%

Austin Hedges MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Austin Hedges MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10

Austin Hedges MLB doubles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.6avg walks · L5
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Austin Hedges MLB walks: averaging 0.6 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Austin Hedges (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Hedges is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.4% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays on Friday 24 July at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks