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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Heaney is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Andrew Heaney

PIT

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+4.1% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Mon 11 Aug, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
89.6%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+4.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks89.6%85.5%1.12+4.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Heaney (PIT) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Andrew Heaney's recent performance data strongly supports the bet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. His last five games have consistently shown an average of more than 0.5 walks per game, whether overall (1.2), playing away (1 and 1.5), or against the Brewers (1.2). This trend is likely to continue given the consistent rate of walks allowed across different situations. Furthermore, his average innings pitched and outs, both overall and away, suggest he typically stays in the game long enough to allow at least one walk. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further indicate a tendency to allow hits, which often correlates with walks. Therefore, based on Heaney's performance data, the bet for Over 0.5 walks is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2070%
O 2.570%
O 3.560%
O 4.540%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%

Andrew Heaney MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak13L2090%
O 2.5100%
O 3.570%
O 4.560%
O 5.530%
O 6.530%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Andrew Heaney MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak4L2090%
O 0.590%
O 1.520%

Andrew Heaney MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
2.6avg earned runs · L5

Andrew Heaney MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
17.6avg outs · L5
Streak4L2080%

Andrew Heaney MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 90% of the last 10 games; averaging 17.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Andrew Heaney (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Heaney is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers on Monday 11 August at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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